{% extends "global/Page.html" %} {% load otree %} {% block title %}
There are two (virtual) boxes consisting of blue and red balls. The first box has 2 red balls and 1 blue ball. The second box has 1 red ball and 2 blue balls.
You again flip a fair coin. When the coin comes up heads, you draw a ball from the first box. When it comes up tails, you draw a ball from the second box.
The set-up is shown in the figure below.
Suppose that you flipped the coin. You don't know which side the coin comes up, but you know that the ball drawn (by someone) is red.
{% formfield player.U2 label="Based on this information, is it more likely that the coin came up heads or is it more likely that the coin came up tails?" %} {% next_button %} {% endblock %}