{% extends "global/Base.html" %} {% load staticfiles otree_tags %} {% block title %} Your payment for part 2
In this part, there will be {{ num_rounds }} tasks. At the end, one of the tasks will be randomly selected to count for your potential bonus. The chance that you get paid an additional bonus for this part is 1 in 3.
In each task, you will be asked to state a guess in the form a probability estimate (between 0 and 100).
There is a prize of {{prize}}. In each guessing task, there are two possible events, call them A and B. One of the two events actually occurred, the other did not. Whether or not you receive the {{prize}} depends on how much probability you assigned to the event that actually occurred.
If event A occurred, your chances of receiving {{prize}} are greater the higher the probability you assigned to event A. If event B occurred, your chances of receiving {{prize}} are greater the higher the probability you assigned to event B.
In case you’re interested, the specific method that determines whether you get the prize is explained below:
A number q between 0 and 2,500 is randomly drawn by the computer.
All this means that, in order to earn as much money as possible, you should try to provide your best probability estimate in each task.