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|
# of Cards in the Deck |
# of Balls in the Bag |
| Bag A |
{{specification.a_chips}} |
{{specification.red_chips_a}} red balls
{{specification.blue_chips_a}} blue balls
|
| Bag B |
{{specification.b_chips}} |
{{specification.blue_chips_a}} red balls
{{specification.red_chips_a}} blue balls
|
Next:
The computer randomly selected one bag by drawing a card from the deck.
- {% if specification.n_sample > 1 %}
Then, the computer randomly drew {{specification.n_sample}} balls from the secretly selected bag, replacing each ball with a ball of the same color after it was drawn:
In total, the computer drew {{specification.red_sample}} red
{% if specification.red_sample == 1%}ball{%else%}balls{%endif%}
and {{specification.blue_sample}} blue
{% if specification.blue_sample == 1%}ball{%else%}balls{%endif%}
{% else %}
Then, the computer randomly drew {{specification.n_sample}} ball from the secretly selected bag:
{% if specification.red_sample > 0 %}1 red ball{% else %}1 blue ball{% endif %} was drawn.
{% endif %}
Decision 1: Your guess
Select a probability (between 0 and 100) that expresses how likely you think it is that bag A as opposed to
{% if player.default_condition == "two" %}
bag B has
{% else %}
one of bag B, bag C, ..., or bag J have
{% endif %}
been selected:
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{% for x in rows %}
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{% if player.default_condition == "two" %}
Probability of bag B:
{% else %}
Combined probability of of bag B, bag C, bag D,
of bag E, bag F, bag G, bag H, bag I and bag J:
{% endif %}
{% if player.default_condition == "two" %}
{% else %}
{% endif %}
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