{% extends "global/Base.html" %} {% load staticfiles otree_tags %} {% block title %} Qualification Questions {% endblock %} {% block content %}
Important: If you answer any of the below questions incorrectly, the study ends after this page and you will receive your participation payment, but you do not qualify for a bonus.
Suppose there are 70 Bag A cards and 30 Bag B cards in the deck. Further suppose there are more red balls in Bag A than there are red balls in Bag B. Next, one red ball is drawn from the secretly selected bag.
Which one of the following guesses is closest to the statistically optimal guess?
{{ form.qn_balls }}
Suppose that in a given task you guess that the probability that Bag A was selected is 70%. Further suppose you are 60% certain that the optimal guess is actually somewhere between 69% and 71% (close to your guess). Please select the appropriate button below to indicate this level of certainty.
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very uncertain completely certain
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