Experts' expectations about the stock's payoff for this round
| Expectation expert 1 | Expectation expert 2 | Expectation expert 3 | Expectation expert 4 |
|---|---|---|---|
|
{% if exp11 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} |
{% if exp21 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} |
{% if exp31 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} |
{% if exp41 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} |
Prediction Machine Learning System
Based on the combination of individual expert expectations, the machine learning system makes the following prediction about stock's payoff in this round:
{% if pred == 1%} High Payoff {% else %}Low Payoff {% endif %}
Your decision
Please decide whether you want to invest in the bond, or the stock.
Note:
In case the stock yields the high payoff, investing into the stock is the income maximizing choice.
In case the stock yields the low payoff, investing into the bond is the income maximizing choice.
You have up to 120 seconds to make a choice.
If you do not make a choice until then, you will automatically invest into the bond.
Results previous rounds
| Round | Expectation expert 1 | Expectation expert 2 | Expectation expert 3 | Expectation expert 4 | Machine Learning Prediction | Stock's actual payoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | {% if exp1_1 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp2_1 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp3_1 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp4_1 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if pred1 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if payoff_1 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} |
| 2 | {% if exp1_2 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp2_2 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp3_2 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp4_2 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if pred2 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if payoff_2 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} |
| 3 | {% if exp1_3 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp2_3 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp3_3 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp4_3 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if pred3 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if payoff_3 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} |
| 4 | {% if exp1_4 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp2_4 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp3_4 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if exp4_4 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if pred4 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} | {% if payoff_4 == 1%} High payoff {% else %} Low payoff {% endif %} |
After you have made your decision, click on the "Next"-Button.
Note: You can only proceed after all other participants have made their choice as well.
Please be patient, in case you have to wait.