{% extends "global/Page.html" %} {% load otree static %} {% block title %} PART 4 - Instructions {% endblock %} {% block content %}
In this task, you will be part of a group of {{ player.participant.vars.size }} players.
{% if player.participant.vars.treatment == 'a' or player.participant.vars.treatment == 'c' %}
{% elif player.participant.vars.treatment == 'b' or player.participant.vars.treatment == 'd' %}
{% endif %}
|
A ball is drawn for each player from the jar depicted on the left that has {{ player.participant.vars.blue_balls }} blue ball(s) and {{ player.participant.vars.red_balls }} orange ball(s). |
Next, you are asked to make a choice: to choose between blue and orange.
Your payoff depends on the color of the ball drawn for you and the group decision.
When the color of the ball that is drawn for you matches the group decision, you earn £{{ Constants.higher_payoff_AP }};
Otherwise, you earn £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }}.
| The player's payoffs | Group decision | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| ORANGE | BLUE | ||
| color of the ball drawn for the player | orange | £{{ Constants.higher_payoff_AP }} | £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} |
| blue | £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} | £{{ Constants.higher_payoff_AP }} | |
{% if player.participant.vars.treatment == 'a' or player.participant.vars.treatment == 'b' %}
{% else %}
{% endif %}
|
Players make decisions one by one in a queue. You only have the chance to influence the group decision if people before you in the queue, if any, chose blue. Similarly, people after you in the queue, if any, only have the chance to influence the group decision if you choose blue. You are asked to make a decision assuming that people before you in the queue, if any, chose blue. |
You will be making this decision in different scenarios.
Scenarios vary in the color of the ball drawn for you and your position in the decision queue (1st to choose, 2nd to choose, ...).
In some scenarios, the ball drawn for you will be blue and in others it will be orange.
Thus, the group decision associated to a payoff of £{{ Constants.higher_payoff_AP }} for you will vary between scenarios.
#}
{# As mentioned, before making a decision, you are informed about the color of the ball drawn for you.
#}
{# While you don't know what ball was drawn for other players in your group, you do know the probabilities associated to each color.
#}
{# Below are the probabilities that no, some or all other members of your group#}
{# earn a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} instead of a payoff of £{{ Constants.higher_payoff_AP }}#}
{# when the group decision ends up being ORANGE#}
{# which happens when the ball drawn for them is blue.#}
{#
As mentioned, if you or any player in your group choose orange, the group decision will be ORANGE.
In that case, if the ball drawn for a player is blue, their payoff will be £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} instead of £{{ Constants.higher_payoff_AP }}.
While you don't know what ball was drawn for other players in your group when making a decision, you do know the odds associated to each color.
Below are the probabilities that no some or all other members of your group
earn a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} instead of £{{ Constants.higher_payoff_AP }}
when the group decision ends up being ORANGE, which happens when the ball drawn for them is blue.
{% if player.participant.vars.treatment == 'a' %}
| Probability that among other members of your group... | |
|---|---|
| NO player earns a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 6.4% |
| AT LEAST 1 player earns a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 93.6% |
| HALF OR MORE players earn a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 64.8% |
| ALL players earn a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 21.6% |
| Probability that among other members of your group... | |
|---|---|
| NO player earns a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 0.1% |
| AT LEAST 1 player earns a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 99.9% |
| HALF OR MORE players earn a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 97.2% |
| ALL players earn a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 72.9% |
| Probability that among other members of your group... | |
|---|---|
| NO player earns a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 0.2% |
| AT LEAST 1 player earns a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 99.8% |
| HALF OR MORE players earn a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 71.0% |
| ALL players earn a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 2.8% |
| Probability that among other members of your group... | |
|---|---|
| NO player earns a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 0.0% |
| AT LEAST 1 player earns a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 100.0% |
| HALF OR MORE players earn a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 99.7% |
| ALL players earn a payoff of £{{ Constants.lower_payoff_AP }} from group decision ORANGE | 47.8% |
Your choices carry financial consequences:
At the end of the study, when all participants similarly recruited in Prolific have submitted their answers:
Have you understood the task?
Next you will be presented with some comprehension questions regarding one possible scenario.
After answering all questions correctly, the task will start with one decision per scenario.
When you are ready, please press the "Next" button.