{% extends "global/Page.html" %} {% load staticfiles otree %} {% csrf_token %} {% block title %} Round {{ subsession.round_number }} of {{ Constants.num_rounds }}: Urn Guess {% endblock %} {% block content %}
Your position: 1 in the sequence of 4 people
A group urn for this round was randomly selected at the beginning of the round

You are the first one guessing the group urn in this round

Here we look at your guess for every potential scenario that might happen in position 1. All players eligible for the bonus payment are determined once all guesses of all the players are collected:

Step 1: You and three other random players are randomly ordered into the sequence starting from position 1 to position 4, one position for each player.

Step 2: A group urn is then randomly selected, each urn with an equal probability.

Step 3: If you are assigned to position 1 (in Step 1), a ball from the group urn is randomly drawn by the computer. We then check the colour of the ball and your corresponding group urn guess for that scenario. If your group urn guess matches the selected group urn, you will be paid the bonus.

Which urn, Blue or Red, do you think is the actual group urn selected for this round if...

{% formfields %}

{% include Constants.instructions_template %}

{% endblock %}