{% extends "global/Page.html" %} {% load staticfiles otree %} {% csrf_token %} {% block title %} Round {{ subsession.round_number }} of {{ Constants.num_rounds }}: Urn Guess {% endblock %} {% block content %}
Your position: 3 in the sequence of 4 people
You have chosen to see the respective group urn guesses by players in position 1 and position 2

Here we look at your guess for every potential scenario that might happen if, in position 3, you choose to observe the guess of the preceding players. All players eligible for the bonus payment are determined once all guesses of all the players are collected:

Step 1: You and three other random players are randomly ordered into the sequence starting from position 1 to position 4, one position for each player.

Step 2: A group urn is then randomly selected, each urn with an equal probability.

Step 3: If you choose to observe the guesses of other players in the position you are assigned to (in Step 1), we will check the guesses of the players that precede you and then check your group urn guess conditional on those group urn guesses by preceding players.

If your group urn guess, which you have selected in response to the relevant group urn guesses of the preceding players, matches the actual group urn, you will be paid the performance bonus.

Which urn, Blue or Red, do you think was selected for this round if...

{% formfields %}

{% include Constants.instructions_template %}

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