{% extends "global/Page.html" %} {% load staticfiles otree %} {% csrf_token %} {% block title %} Round {{ subsession.round_number }} of {{ Constants.num_rounds }}: Urn Guess {% endblock %} {% block content %}
Here we look at your guess for every potential scenario that might happen if, in position 2, you choose to observe the guess of the preceding player. All players eligible for the bonus payment are determined once all guesses of all the players are collected:
Step 1: You and three other random players are randomly ordered into the sequence
starting from position 1 to position 4, one position for each player.
Step 2: A group urn is then randomly selected, each urn with an equal
probability.
Step 3: If you choose to observe the guesses of other players in the position you
are assigned to (in Step 1), we will check the guesses of the players that precede you and then
check your group urn guess conditional on those group urn guesses by preceding players.
If your group urn guess, which you have selected in response to the relevant group urn guesses
of the preceding players, matches the actual group urn, you will be paid the bonus.
{% formfields %}
{% include Constants.instructions_template %} {% endblock %}