{% extends "global/Page.html" %}
{% load staticfiles otree %}

{% block title %}
    Understanding Check - 2/3
{% endblock %}

{% block content %}
<style>
table#t01, table#t01 thead, table#t01 td, table#t01 tr{
    border: 1px solid black;
    font-size:93%
}
div.a {
    text-indent:201px;
}

</style>
<h5>Statements</h5>
<ol>
    <li>If a feature (e.g. "1_year_ago" in this example) "pushes" the output of the ML algorithm to lower values for one forecast,
        it will be "pushing" the output to lower values for all other forecasts made by the ML algorithm as well.</li>
    <li>Generally speaking, if a feature value is lower than the "base value" (<104.7), it always gets assigned a negative bold value
        and will hence never "push" the output to higher values.</li>
    <li>Features with small bold values (e.g. "1_day_ago" in this example) do not impact the the output much for this forecast.</li>
</ol>

<table class="table", id="t01">
                <thead>
                <small>(Put your mouse over a feature to see its description)</small></thead>
                <tr>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Average of all previous data points">Avg_total </span>= 104.2</div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>-0.6</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Average of all previous data points which have the same month value as the upcoming forecast to
                    be made (e.g. all historical data points in January, no matter which year)">Avg_month = 80.2</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>-2.8</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Actual demand value 1 day ago">1_day_ago = 104</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>0.1</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Actual demand value 4 days ago">4_days_ago = 108</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>0.3</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Actual demand value 1 week ago">1_week_ago = 106</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>1.0</b></div>
                    </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Average of all previous data points which have the same year value as the upcoming forecast to
                    be made (e.g. all data points of 2017)">Avg_year = 87.3</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>1.0</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Average of all previous data points which have the same week value as the upcoming forecast to
                    be made (e.g. all data points of calender week 42, no matter which year)">Avg_week = 79.6</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>-3.7</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Actual demand value 2 days ago">2_days_ago = 74</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>-1.3</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Actual demand value 5 days ago">5_days_ago = 79</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>0.4</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Actual demand value 1 month (4*7 days) ago">1_month_ago = 100</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>0.5</b></div>
                    </td>
                </tr>
                <tr>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Average of all previous data points which have the same quarter value as the upcoming forecast to
                    be made (e.g. all data points in first quarter, no matter which year)">Avg_quarter = 82.7</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>-0.6</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Average of all previous data points which have the same weekday value as the upcoming forecast to
                    be made (e.g. all data points on a Monday, no matter which week, month, quarter or year)">Avg_weekday = 116.4</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>7.3</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Actual demand value 3 days ago">3_days_ago = 78</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>-0.1</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Actual demand value 6 days ago">6_days_ago = 133</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>0.5</b></div>
                    </td>
                    <td>
                        <div style="float:left;text-align:left;"><span title="Actual demand value 1 year (52*7 days) ago">1_year_ago = 90</span></div>
                        <div style="float:right;text-align:right;"><b>-4.0</b></div>
                    </td>
                </tr>

</table>
    Output = 104.7 (base value) + (-0.6) + (1.0) + (-0.6)
             + (-2.8) + (-3.7) + (7.3) + (0.1)
             + (-1.3)
    <div class="a">+ (-0.1) + (0.3) + (0.4)
             + (0.5) + (1.0) + (0.5) + (-4.0)
        &#8776 <b>103</b></div><br/>

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    {% next_button %}

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