{{ block title }} Equal Probability Survey {{ endblock }} {{ block content }}

Scenario 1

Box Yellow has the same probability as Green of being selected as the actual outcome. Then, the initial probability of outcome Y equals 50%. Please, indicate the probability of this outcome after observing different signals.


Box Initial Probability of being selected Number of yellow marbles Number of green marbles Total number of marbles
Yellow 50% 15 5 20
Green 50% 15 5 20
Sample of two Marbles Number of yellow marbles Indicate the probability of the sample coming from the Yellow box (i.e. the final probability of outcome Y)
2 {{formfield 'answer1'}}
1 {{formfield 'answer2'}}
0 {{formfield 'answer3'}}
{{ next_button }} {{ endblock }}