Basics

The weather this study is referring to lies in the past, which is why you will be exposed to historic weather data and forecasts. This allows us to calculate your earnings immediately in case it is determined by the bet. Note that all the displayed weather information are real. At the beginning of your participation, a computer program randomly chose a location, a time and the kind of information you will receive. This may be any location in the world at any time. You will learn to which time and location the weather data is referring to but not until finishing the trade-offs. This way, we can be certain, that you can only utilize the information we provided. If your earnings are determined by the bet eventually, we can immediately check whether your bet was correct and inform you about the outcome.

Description

The visualization illustrates the aforementioned weather data. You see temperatures of three consecutive days - eacht at 14:00 CET. Your trade-off corresponds to a bet on the temperature 9 days later at the same daytime (the purple shaded area).

From the seventh round we will additionally show you the mentioned weather forecast. The forecast will be displayed in that purple shaded area. In addition, we will display a text explaining the forecast.

Proof of authenticity

All the information displayed are real an measured (or forecasted) by experts. We ceil the data such that you do not have to think about decimal places. At the end of the study, we will display the sources the information stem from.

Usability

Be aware that you can retrieve both these instructions as well as the visualization at any time. To recall the visualization, you just have to click on the -symbol in the top right. To recall the instruction, you have to click on the -symbol next to it..