{{ block title }} Boxes, Marbles and Sequences {{ endblock }} {{ block content }}

There are two types of boxes filled with four (4) marbles:

  1. The Yellow box has three (3) yellow marbles and one (1) green marble.
  2. The Green box has three (3) green marbles and one (1) yellow marble.
Then, the probability of drawing one single yellow marble is equal to 75% (three-quarters of the time a yellow marble is drawn) if the box selected is Yellow and 25% (one-quarter of the time a yellow marble is drawn) if the box selected is Green. The following table summarizes the probabilities associated with each box:

Box Marbles Probability
(in percentage points)
of drawing
one yellow ball
Probability
(in percentage points)
of drawing
one green ball

75 25

25 75

Generating Random Sequences

In each round,

  1. The computer randomly selects a Yellow or Green box.
  2. From the box secretly selected, the computer will draw a sequence of 10 marbles, recording the color and replacing the marble in its box after each draw.
  3. You and another participant (participant 2) will observe the same number of yellow and green marbles from the sequence.

Click on the boxes below to draw a sequence of 10 marbles from each box.

Click the 'Next' button if you understand the process of drawing the sequences, or ask the experimenter if you have any questions.

{{ formfields }} {{ next_button }} {{ endblock }}