{% extends "global/Base.html" %} {% load staticfiles otree_tags %} {% block title %} Your payment for part 1
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There is a prize of {{prize}}. Whether or not you receive the {{prize}} depends on how much probability you assigned to the bag that was actually drawn in that problem.

This means: if bag A was selected, your chances of receiving {{prize}} are greater the higher the probability you assigned to bag A. If bag A was not selected, your chances of receiving {{prize}} are greater the lower the probability you assigned to bag A. In case you’re interested, the specific method that determines whether you get the prize is explained below:

The correct answer given the information provided is the bayesian posterior, which we will denote by b. A lottery will be implemented such that your chance of winning $10 is: 1 - 0.001(Your answer - b)2

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