{% block script %} {% endblock %} {% block title %} Experiment {{super_round}}, Round {{ display_round }} {% endblock %} {% block content %}



Background:


Important note:
The grey ball is no indication of the color of the ball drawn. You do not know whether it was blue or red.

History:
Ball 1 Ball 2

{% if display_round == 1 %} One ball is drawn from the blackbox. This is called Ball 1. The other participant saw the color of the ball, but did not know whether it was informative or uninformative. {% endif %} {% if display_round == 2 %} Another is drawn from the blackbox. This is called Ball 2. The other participant saw the color of the ball, but did not know whether it was informative or uninformative. {% endif %} {% if display_round > 1 and player.treat > 1%}

You previously thought it was {{prev_belief}}% likely that the selected urn is blue. {% endif %} {% if display_round == 1 and player.treat == 2 %}
This is the first round. Nothing to display yet. {% endif %}

{% if display_round == 1 and super_round > 1 %}
Reminder: This is a new experiment. The reports from the previous experiment should be disregarded in your estimation. Focus only on the information provided in this experiment. {% endif %}


New Information:
{% if display_round < 3%} The other participant thought it was {{other_report}}% likely that the selected urn is blue. {% endif %} {% if display_round == 3%} The signal that the other participant received was {{other_report}}. {% endif %}

Question:
What do you think are the chances (in %) that the BLUE URN was picked in the beginning?

-
0 100
+
%
{% endblock %}