{ "design": "Fourfold pattern of risk attitudes (Kahneman & Tversky, 1979; Tversky & Kahneman, 1992)", "monetary_unit": "M (e.g., 3000 in local currency)", "note": "Items 1-4 = minimal fourfold set (K&T Table I). Items 5-8 = parallel set (K&T Problems 7-8, 7'-8'). Original 1979 paper had 20 items in 13 contrasts; Ruggeri et al. 2020 used same 20 items.", "items": [ { "item_id": 1, "cell": "high_p_gains", "domain": "gains", "probability": "high", "risk_prediction": "averse", "option_a": { "text": "M for sure", "text_display": "M for sure.", "is_safe": true, "is_risky": false }, "option_b": { "text": "1.33M with probability 0.80, otherwise 0", "text_display": "1.33M with probability 0.80, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": false, "is_risky": true }, "predicted_option": "A", "hypothesis": "H1" }, { "item_id": 2, "cell": "low_p_gains", "domain": "gains", "probability": "low", "risk_prediction": "seeking", "option_a": { "text": "1.33M with probability 0.20, otherwise 0", "text_display": "1.33M with probability 0.20, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": false, "is_risky": true }, "option_b": { "text": "M with probability 0.25, otherwise 0", "text_display": "M with probability 0.25, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": true, "is_risky": false }, "predicted_option": "A", "hypothesis": "H2" }, { "item_id": 3, "cell": "high_p_losses", "domain": "losses", "probability": "high", "risk_prediction": "seeking", "option_a": { "text": "-1.33M with probability 0.80, otherwise 0", "text_display": "-1.33M with probability 0.80, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": false, "is_risky": true }, "option_b": { "text": "-M for sure", "text_display": "-M for sure.", "is_safe": true, "is_risky": false }, "predicted_option": "A", "hypothesis": "H3" }, { "item_id": 4, "cell": "low_p_losses", "domain": "losses", "probability": "low", "risk_prediction": "averse", "option_a": { "text": "-M with probability 0.25, otherwise 0", "text_display": "-M with probability 0.25, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": true, "is_risky": false }, "option_b": { "text": "-1.33M with probability 0.20, otherwise 0", "text_display": "-1.33M with probability 0.20, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": false, "is_risky": true }, "predicted_option": "A", "hypothesis": "H4" }, { "item_id": 5, "cell": "high_p_gains", "domain": "gains", "probability": "high", "risk_prediction": "averse", "option_a": { "text": "M with probability 0.90, otherwise 0", "text_display": "M with probability 0.90, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": true, "is_risky": false }, "option_b": { "text": "2M with probability 0.45, otherwise 0", "text_display": "2M with probability 0.45, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": false, "is_risky": true }, "predicted_option": "A", "hypothesis": "H1", "source_notes": "K&T Problem 7 (0.90/0.45)" }, { "item_id": 6, "cell": "low_p_gains", "domain": "gains", "probability": "low", "risk_prediction": "seeking", "option_a": { "text": "2M with probability 0.001, otherwise 0", "text_display": "2M with probability 0.001, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": false, "is_risky": true }, "option_b": { "text": "M with probability 0.002, otherwise 0", "text_display": "M with probability 0.002, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": true, "is_risky": false }, "predicted_option": "A", "hypothesis": "H2", "source_notes": "K&T Problem 8 (0.002/0.001)" }, { "item_id": 7, "cell": "high_p_losses", "domain": "losses", "probability": "high", "risk_prediction": "seeking", "option_a": { "text": "-2M with probability 0.45, otherwise 0", "text_display": "-2M with probability 0.45, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": false, "is_risky": true }, "option_b": { "text": "-M with probability 0.90, otherwise 0", "text_display": "-M with probability 0.90, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": true, "is_risky": false }, "predicted_option": "A", "hypothesis": "H3", "source_notes": "K&T Problem 7' (loss)" }, { "item_id": 8, "cell": "low_p_losses", "domain": "losses", "probability": "low", "risk_prediction": "averse", "option_a": { "text": "-M with probability 0.002, otherwise 0", "text_display": "-M with probability 0.002, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": true, "is_risky": false }, "option_b": { "text": "-2M with probability 0.001, otherwise 0", "text_display": "-2M with probability 0.001, otherwise 0.", "is_safe": false, "is_risky": true }, "predicted_option": "A", "hypothesis": "H4", "source_notes": "K&T Problem 8' (loss)" } ] }