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    Task 1 - Belief Question
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<p> In addition to the steps described before,
    after observing some of the Firm’s plates, you will also be asked to answer the following question in each round of Task 1:
</p>

<ol type="1">

    <li> <b>How likely (that is, with what probability) do you believe that the Firm’s type is A? </b>
        Your answer to this question will be referred to as <i>p</i> and must be a number between 0 and 100.
        Choosing a value of <i>p</i> means that you believe there is a <i>p</i>% probability that the Firm's type is A;
        and a (100-<i>p</i>)% probability that it is instead type B.
    </li>
</ol>
<p> Your answer to this question will determine an additional number of tokens that you may earn in the round,
    based on the following steps. First, a whole number, which we call r, will be randomly selected between 0 and 99,
    with each value in that range equally likely. Then: </p>
<ol>
<ul>
    <li> If <b><i>r</i> < <i>p</i></b>, then you will earn additional <b>{{C.RIGHT_BELIEF}}</b> if the Firm’s type is A.
        If the Firm’s type is instead Type B, then you do NOT earn any additional tokens. </li>
    <li> Otherwise, if <b><i>r</i> ≥ <i>p</i></b>, then there is an <i>r</i>% probability that you will earn additional <b> {{ C.RIGHT_BELIEF }}</b>;
        and a (100 – <i>r</i>)% probability that you will NOT earn any additional tokens.</li>
</ul>
</ol>

<p> For example, imagine that in a given round, you indicate that you believe the Firm is Type A with a probability <i>p </i> = 70%.
    Then, a number <i> r</i> is randomly selected between 0 and 99. If <i> r </i> < 70, then you would earn additional {{ C.RIGHT_BELIEF }}
     in this round ONLY IF the Firm’s type were Type A. Otherwise, if <i>r </i> ≥ 70, then you would earn additional {{ C.RIGHT_BELIEF }}
    in this round with probability <i> r</i>%. </p>

<p><u>IMPORTANT:</u> The strategy that maximizes your expected earnings from this question is for you to select the value of <i>p</i>
    that <u> you truly believe</u> is the probability that the Firm’s type is A.</p>


    <button class="otree-btn-next btn btn-primary" style="float: right;">Next</button>

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