{{ extends 'global/Page.html' }} {{ block title }}Probability Estimation{{ endblock }} {{ block content }}

Period {{ round }}


{{if player.OwnsStock == True }} Your current account balance is ${{player.Account}} and you hold the stock. {{else}} Your current account balance is ${{player.Account}} and you do not hold the stock. {{endif}}

The stock currently trades at ${{player.Price}}.

{{if cont == 1}} The current period's price change is ${{player.PriceChange}}.
{{past_prices}} {{else}} The aggregated price change over the last 5 periods is ${{player.AggregateChange}} ({{ individual_prices }}). {{endif}}

Given the past price updates, what do you think is the likelihood (in %) that the stock is currently in the good state?
Please indicate the likelihood on the slider below:


{{ formfield_errors 'Belief' }}

{{ next_button }} {{ endblock }}