{{ block title }}Second Market{{ endblock }} {{ block content }}

In this round, superstar assets are possible. These are the same assets with 6 of the 10 periods now revealed.

Regular assets move +1 with 50% probability.

Superstar assets move +1 with 99% probability.





You will answer questions about asset {{ player.asset_6 }}, which is one of the assets with the best movement so far.

To help you answer these questions, we generated an additional 10,000 assets (different from the ones in this round) where each asset had a 2% chance of being created a superstar. Here are the results:

Out of the 328 assets that increased each of the first 6 periods, 176 were superstars. This means that 53.66% (= 176/328) of those that increased each of the first 6 periods were superstars.

Each one of these assets was given a 2% chance of being a superstar when they were created. Now, given the history so far, give your best guess for the updated chance that they are superstars. Entering 0 means there is no chance and entering 100 means that it is certain.

The probability that asset {{ player.asset_6 }} is a superstar: {{ formfield 'prob_6'}}

Give your best guess for the final payout in Period 10 for asset {{ player.asset_6 }} (+1 if you get it right):

{{ formfield 'guess_6'}}

What is the highest price you are willing to pay for one unit of asset {{ player.asset_6 }}?

{{ formfield 'bid_6' }} {{ next_button }} {{ endblock }}