{{ block title }}First Market{{ endblock }}
{{ block content }}

    <p>
        In this round, superstar assets are possible.

        For now, only 3 of the 10 periods are revealed.

    </p>

    <p>

        Regular assets move up 1 with 50% probability.

    </p>

    <p>

        Superstar assets move up 1 with 99% probability.

    </p>

    <img src="{{ static image_path1 }}"/>   <br> <br>

    <img src="{{ static image_path2 }}"/>   <br> <br>

    <p>
        You will answer questions about asset {{ player.asset_3 }}, which is one of the assets with the best
        movement so far.
    </p>


    <p>
        To help you answer these questions, we generated an additional 10,000 assets
        (different from the ones in this round) where each asset had a 2% chance of being created a superstar.
        Here are the results:
    </p>

    <img src="{{ static image_path3 }}"/>

    <p>
        Out of the 1424 assets that increased each of the first 3 periods, 183 were superstars.  This means that
        <strong>12.85%</strong> (= 183/1424) of those that increased each of the first 3 periods were superstars.
    </p>

    <p>
        Asset {{ player.asset_3 }} was given a 2% chance of being a superstar when it was created.

        Now, given the history so far, give your best guess for the updated chance that it is a superstar.

        Entering 0 means there is no chance and entering 100 means that it is certain.
    </p>

    <p>
        The probability that asset {{ player.asset_3 }} is a superstar:

      {{ formfield 'prob_3'}}
    </p>



    <p>
        Give your best guess for the final payout in Period 10 for asset {{ player.asset_3 }} (+1 if your guess is within 1 of the actual value):
    </p>
        {{ formfield 'guess_3'}}


    <p>
        What is the highest price you are willing to pay for one unit of asset {{ player.asset_3 }}?
    </p>
    {{ formfield 'bid_3' }}



    {{ next_button }}

{{ endblock }}