{{ extends 'global/Page.html' }} {{ block title }}Round {{player.round_number}} {{ endblock }} {{ block content }}

Your points and priorities for this round are:

{{ pf_graph }}

Each island has room for {{num_quota}} travelers. There are {{num_players}} travelers.

What do you think is your probability of being sent to each island?

{{ for row in belief_rows }} {{ endfor }}
Rank Island Probability (%)
{{ row.rank }} {{ if row.filled }} {{ row.island }} {{ else }}
{{ endif }}
{{ if row.filled }} {{ endif }}
Not sent to any island
Total: 0%
Probabilities must sum to exactly 100%. Current total: 0%.

After your submission, we will randomly select one rank position from your submitted list.

We will call your reported assignment probability at this position p.

We will then simulate the assignment process. All other travelers' lists and priority scores will remain unchanged.

After the simulation, we will compute your score, which we will call S:

If you were sent to the selected island, your score will be S = (1 – p)².

If you were not sent to the selected island, your score will be S = (p)².

Finally, we will draw a random number R between 0 and 1.

{{ C.BDM_PAY }} points will be added to your payoff if your score is less than this number, S < R.

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