The Owner’s second job is to make a prediction about how much the asset’s value will change from its initial value of 150 points. Recall that this change is based on the three factors: the Random Factor, the Bonus Factor, and the Cost Factor.

The Owner does not know the amount of the Random Factor in advance. However, the Owner does know the likelihood that the Bonus Factor equals 100 points because s/he chose this likelihood. The Owner also knows the amount of the Cost Factor.

Based on this knowledge, each Owner will make a prediction about how much the value of his/her asset will increase or decrease relative to its initial value of 150 points. These predictions will be provided to the Buyers before they bid on the asset.