{% load otree static %} {% block content %}

Guess again how many additional tasks you will have to solve

Right now, we would like to know again what you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 40 or fewer additional sequences.

As mentioned earlier, in this study, we will ask you to make several guesses. The computer will randomly choose one of the guesses you make to be payoff relevant. For this payoff relevant guess, you can earn {{ Constants.extra_payoff}}€ in addition to your reimbursement for the completion of all parts of this study.

For each guess you make, you maximize the chances of winning the additional 6€, if you simply state your true expectation (the button below provides further details on the exact procedure).

For your guess, we will always ask you how likely you think a particular state is. For example, we may ask how likely you think it is (in percent) that you have to solve 40 or fewer additional sequences. Thus, when you make a guess, you can pick any number between 0 and 100 and the number you select indicates the chance (out of 100) you assign to the state we ask for (for example, the chance that you have to solve 40 or fewer additional sequences).

For your payoff-relevant guess, the computer will then randomly draw two numbers between 0 and 100 (including 0, 100 and all decimal numbers between) and all numbers are equally likely to be selected. The two random numbers are drawn independently. That is, irrespective of the first number drawn, the second number is again randomly chosen from the interval of 0 to 100 such that the outcome of the first draw in no way affects the outcome of the second number drawn.

You will receive the {{ Constants.extra_payoff }}€ bonus if ...

Given this rule, you can maximize the probability of winning by simply stating your true expectation.

On the next page you can enter your guess.


{% next_button %}

{% endblock %}