{% load otree static %} {% block content %}
Guesses about the exact number of additional sequences (40 or fewer):
You indicated that you expect that you have to solve 40 or fewer additional sequences in {{Constants.days_double}} days with probability {{player.BeliefTopHalf1}} percent. Now we would like to know, how you would estimate the likelihood of having to solve a specific number of additional sequences in {{Constants.days_double}} days.
Please indicate below your estimates
{% formfield player.Belief1_1 label="What do you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 8 additional sequences? " %} {% formfield player.Belief2_1 label="What do you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 16 additional sequences?" %} {% formfield player.Belief3_1 label="What do you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 24 additional sequences? " %} {% formfield player.Belief4_1 label="What do you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 32 additional sequences? " %} {% formfield player.Belief5_1 label="What do you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 40 additional sequences?" %}Important: The sum of your 5 estimates must be equal to your stated probability of having to solve 40 or fewer additional sequences (which you stated as {{player.BeliefTopHalf1}} percent)!
Remember: You can receive a bonus payment of {{Constants.extra_payoff}}€ for an accurate guess, and given the payment rule we implement, you simply need to state your true expectation to secure the largest chance of receiving the {{Constants.extra_payoff}}€.