{% load otree static %} {% block content %}

Guesses about the exact number of additional sequences (more than 40):

You indicated that you expect that you have to solve 48 or more additional sequences in {{Constants.days_double}} days with probability {{BeliefBottomHalf1}} percent. Now we would like to know, how you would estimate the likelihood of having to solve a specific number of additional sequences in {{Constants.days_double}} days.

Please indicate below your estimates

{% formfield player.Belief6_1 label="What do you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 48 additional sequences? " %} {% formfield player.Belief7_1 label="What do you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 56 additional sequences?" %} {% formfield player.Belief8_1 label="What do you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 64 additional sequences? " %} {% formfield player.Belief9_1 label="What do you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 72 additional sequences? " %} {% formfield player.Belief10_1 label="What do you think is the likelihood that you have to solve 80 additional sequences?" %}

Important: The sum of your 5 estimates must be equal to your stated probability of having to solve 48 or more additional sequences (which you stated as {{BeliefBottomHalf1}} percent)!

Remember: You can receive a bonus payment of {{Constants.extra_payoff}}€ for an accurate guess, and given the payment rule we implement, you simply need to state your true expectation to secure the largest chance of receiving the {{Constants.extra_payoff}}€.


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