Now, you will see 20 plots generated from the random process that as we mentioned before. Please note that there are some changes in the task rules .
Each plot contains 30 realizations.The starting values of all plots were normalized to 0. For each plot, you need predict whether the next period’s change of the sequence will be upward or downward. You can click the Upward or Downward button to make your predictions. Once you click the button, you will automatically enter the prediction page of next plot.
The time limit is 5 minutes in this task, and it will be displayed in the upper right corner of the page.
The prediction page is shown below:
Notice
Your predictions will determine your payment in this task. We will compare your predictions with the realization in next Period.
You will get $0.1 for each correct prediction, and there is no penalty for incorrect predictions.
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If the task is randomly drawn to determine your payment, you will know the correct number of predictions at the end of the experiment.
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You will receive no information about the correct number of predictions. If this task is randomly drawn to determine your payment, we will combine this task's payoff with the other parts’ payment and pay you together within one week.
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Now please answer the following questions:
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Please click next if you are ready to start task.