{% extends "global/Page.html" %} {{ block title }} Task 2{{ endblock }} {% block content %}
Introductions

Now, you will see 20 plots generated from the random process that as we mentioned before. And there are some changes in the task rules .

Each plot contains 30 realizations. The starting values of all plots were normalized to 0. For each plot, you need predict whether the next period’s change of the sequence will be upward or downward. You can click the Upward or Downward button to make your predictions. Once you click the button, you will automatically enter the prediction page of next plot.

The time limit is 5 minutes in this task, and it will be displayed in the upper right corner of the page.

The prediction page is shown below:


Notice

  • Your predictions will determine your payment in this task. We will compare your predictions with the realization in next Period. {{ if player.treatment_task2 != 6 }} You will get $0.1 for each correct prediction, and there is no penalty for incorrect predictions. {{ else }} Your payment in this task depends on your performance relative to other 3 randomly selected participants doing the same task as you. The payment is the same for all four of you. The participant with most correct predictions is the winner, who can get $0.4 per correct prediction, and there is no penalty for incorrect predictions. Others will not receive any payment. In case of a tie, the winner will be randomly chosen among the participants who get the same correct predictions. {{ endif }}
  • {{ if player.treatment_task2 == 2 or player.treatment_task2 == 4}} If the task is randomly drawn to determine your payment, you will know the correct number of predictions at the end of the experiment. {{ else }} You will receive no information about the correct number of predictions. If this task is randomly drawn to determine your payment, we will combine this task's payoff with the other parts’ payment and pay you together within one week. {{ endif }}


  • Now please answer the following questions: {{ formfield 'task2_q1' }} 2. I can get $___ for 10 correct predictions {{if player.treatment_task2 == 6 }} if I am the winner {{ endif }}. {{ form.task2_q2}} {{formfield_errors 'task2_q2'}} {{ formfield 'task2_q3' }} Please click next if you are ready to start task.

    {% next_button %} {% endblock %}