Please treat the scenario below independently of all others. Answer as if this were the only information you had.
The virus is now in widespread community circulation and will affect the entire population, with more severe impacts on the {{ impacted }}.
Transmissibility:
{{ t_sentence }}
Severity:
{{ s_sentence }}
Each dot = 1 confirmed case (infected person). Total = 1,000 cases.
How likely is it that you or someone like you would catch the virus in this situation?
0 (No chance)– 100 (Sure to happen)
Now indicate how certain you are about your answer above. Please allocate tokens across the following percentage ranges
to show where you think the true likelihood could fall. Your tokens must add up to 100.
Example: 30 tokens in Bar 4 (30–39%) means you think there is a 30% chance the true likelihood lies between 30% and 39%.
0% to 9%
0
10% to 19%
0
20% to 29%
0
30% to 39%
0
40% to 49%
0
50% to 59%
0
60% to 69%
0
70% to 79%
0
80% to 89%
0
90% to 100%
0
Total tokens allocated: 0 / 100
Your tokens must add up to 100.
If you or somebody like you had a test-confirmed case of the virus, how likely is it that you or somebody like you would die?
0 (No chance)– 100 (Sure to happen)
Now indicate how certain you are about your answer above. Please allocate tokens across the following percentage ranges
to show where you think the true likelihood could fall. Your tokens must add up to 100.
Example: 30 tokens in Bar 4 (30–39%) means you think there is a 30% chance the true likelihood lies between 30% and 39%.
0% to 9%
0
10% to 19%
0
20% to 29%
0
30% to 39%
0
40% to 49%
0
50% to 59%
0
60% to 69%
0
70% to 79%
0
80% to 89%
0
90% to 100%
0
Total tokens allocated: 0 / 100
Your tokens must add up to 100.
Given this situation, how likely would you be to avoid your normal social and economic activities to reduce your risk of infection?
0 (No chance)– 100 (Sure to happen)
Now indicate how certain you are about your answer above. Please allocate tokens across the following percentage ranges
to show where you think the true likelihood could fall. Your tokens must add up to 100.
Example: 30 tokens in Bar 4 (30–39%) means you think there is a 30% chance the true likelihood lies between 30% and 39%.
0% to 9%
0
10% to 19%
0
20% to 29%
0
30% to 39%
0
40% to 49%
0
50% to 59%
0
60% to 69%
0
70% to 79%
0
80% to 89%
0
90% to 100%
0
Total tokens allocated: 0 / 100
Your tokens must add up to 100.