Please think of the following hypothetical scenarios. Suppose you need to choose between two medical treatments, A and B. Each treatment has two possible outcomes in terms of how long the effect will last. You know the probabilities with which this will happen. Irrespective of which treatment you choose, for as long as their effect lasts you are in full health. When the effect of the treatment is gone, you go back to your initial state of health, i.e. the state you were before you started the treatment that is the same regardless of the treatment you chose, and no further treatment will be allowed.
For instance, in row 1, treatment A will give you 200 days of full health with probability 10% or 160 days in full health with probability 90%. Treatment B gives you 385 days of full health with probability 10% or 10 days in full health with probability 90%.
Please, make your choice for each row/pair by selecting either A or B. Remember there are no right or wrong answers. It is your personal choices we are interested in.
| ID | Treatment A | Treatment B | Your Choice | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| P | Days in full health | P | Days in full health | P | Days in full health | P | Days in full health | ||
| 1 | 10% | 200 days | 90% | 160 days | 10% | 385 days | 90% | 10 days | {{ formfield player.health_risk_1 label="" }} |
| 2 | 20% | 200 days | 80% | 160 days | 20% | 385 days | 80% | 10 days | {{ formfield player.health_risk_2 label="" }} |
| 3 | 30% | 200 days | 70% | 160 days | 30% | 385 days | 70% | 10 days | {{ formfield player.health_risk_3 label="" }} |
| 4 | 40% | 200 days | 60% | 160 days | 40% | 385 days | 60% | 10 days | {{ formfield player.health_risk_4 label="" }} |
| 5 | 50% | 200 days | 50% | 160 days | 50% | 385 days | 50% | 10 days | {{ formfield player.health_risk_5 label="" }} |
| 6 | 60% | 200 days | 40% | 160 days | 60% | 385 days | 40% | 10 days | {{ formfield player.health_risk_6 label="" }} |
| 7 | 70% | 200 days | 30% | 160 days | 70% | 385 days | 30% | 10 days | {{ formfield player.health_risk_7 label="" }} |
| 8 | 80% | 200 days | 20% | 160 days | 80% | 385 days | 20% | 10 days | {{ formfield player.health_risk_8 label="" }} |
| 9 | 90% | 200 days | 10% | 160 days | 90% | 385 days | 10% | 10 days | {{ formfield player.health_risk_9 label="" }} |