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Decision 2
{{if player.treatment == "T1" or player.treatment == "T2"}}We also ask Person As to indicate with what percent chance they believe Person B’s transfer lies between -75 and -1. In other words, we ask Person As to guess the percent chance with which they believe that Person Bs take money from the Person As. Person As have a monetary incentive to provide their true estimate of this chance (i.e. if they believed the Person Bs would take with 5% chance, they would earn the most by stating that this chance was exactly 5%. Similarly, if they believed the Person Bs would take with 95% chance, they would earn the most by stating that this chance was exactly 95%).
{{else}}We also ask Person As to indicate with what percent chance they believe Person B’s transfer lies between +51 and +250. In other words, we ask Person As to guess the percent chance with which they believe that Person Bs give them more than CZK 50. Person As have a monetary incentive to provide their true estimate of this chance (i.e. if they believed the Person Bs would give more than 50 with 5% chance, they would earn the most by stating that this chance was exactly 5%. Similarly, if they believed the Person Bs would give more than 50 with 95% chance, they would earn the most by stating that this chance was exactly 95%).
{{endif}}We now ask you to provide a guess of what the Person A you are matched with believed this chance to be:
If this is your decision-that-counts, and your answer is within +/- 5 percentage points of the actual answer that was given by the Person A you were matched with, you will earn CZK 200 in additional payment.
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