Let's consider an image which is either Cat or Dog.
If you report that the probability of Dog is q, there will be 1 − (1 − q)2 chance of winning ${{ amount_paid }} if it is a Dog; and 1 − q2 chance of winning the ${{ amount_paid }} if it is a Cat.
Why should you truthfully report?
Suppose you actually think the probability of a Dog is π, which does not necessarily equal to q, then your overall probability of getting ${{ amount_paid }} is
(1 − (1 − q)2)*π + (1 − q2)*(1-π)
After doing some math, you will see that it is maximized when q = π.