{{ block title }}Choice{{ endblock }} {{ block content }}

Hover to see experimental set-up.

You are offered a choice between two boxes, A and B. You will be paid $10 if you pick a golden box if this choice is selected for payment. Box A and B are different in the following way:

  1. Box A has 0% chance of being golden.

  2. Box B was randomly selected from the 200 boxes.
    1. We will draw 4 balls, one at at time with replacement, from Box B.
    2. You can make your choice base on the number of red balls that we draw from B.

{{ formfield_errors "p4lott0" }} {% for item in right_side_amounts_percentages %} {% endfor %}
Choose Box A Choose Box B
Box A - 0% chance of being golden.    Box B - if {{ item.amount }} out of 4 ({{ item.percentage }}%) balls drawn are red.

You may wonder if there is a "correct" choice to the above. Indeed, it is possible, using statistical theory, to calculate the choice for each row that would give you the highest probability of winning $10. You may not know what the correct choice is, therefore, we offer you after each decision a chance to learn the correct choice and change your choices. In particular, we offer you three options:

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