{{ block title }}Choice{{ endblock }} {{ block content }}

Hover to see experimental set-up.

You are offered a choice between two boxes, A and B. You will be paid $10 if you pick a golden box if this choice is selected for payment. Box A and B are different in the following way:

  1. Box A has 25% chance of being golden.

  2. Box B was randomly selected from the 200 boxes.
    1. We will draw 25 balls, one at at time with replacement, from Box B.
    2. You can make your choice based on the number of red balls that we draw from B.

{{ formfield_errors "p25lott1" }} {% for item in right_side_amounts_percentages %} {% endfor %}
Choose Box A Choose Box B
Box A - 25% chance of being golden.    Box B - if {{ item.amount }} out of 25 ({{ item.percentage }}%) balls drawn are red.

You may wonder if there is a "correct" choice to the above. Indeed, it is possible, using statistical theory, to calculate the choice for each row that would give you the highest probability of winning $10. You may not know what the correct choice is, therefore, we offer you after each decision a chance to learn the correct choice and change your choices. In particular, we offer you three options:

{{ form.p25lottlevel1 }}

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