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Puzzle 2
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<i>You have a maximum of five minutes to complete this page. At that point, you will move on regardless of whether you have finished.</i>
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Consider two boxes A and B. Imagine box A contains £20 for sure. Imagine that box B may contain either £250 or nothing. Your options will be either: to choose both boxes A and B (and collect the money that is in both boxes); or, to choose box B only (and collect only the money that is in box B).
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Imagine now that we have an artificial intelligence program called ‘The Predictor’ that has analyzed the pattern of the responses you have already made to the previous puzzle. Based on this analysis, the program has already predicted your response for this puzzle, and has already loaded the boxes accordingly. If, based on this analysis of your previous responses, the program has predicted that you will take both boxes, then it has left box B empty. On the other hand, if it has predicted that you will take only box B, then it has already put £250 in that box. So far, the program has been very successful: Most of the pairs who chose box B received £250; in contrast, few of those who chose both boxes found £250 in box B. Which of the above options would you choose?
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