{{ block title }} 由于A市场已购买保险,请回答以下问题 {{ endblock }} {{ block content }}
决策任务({{player.round_number}}/{{Constants.num_rounds}})
为了最大化您的收益,您最优的选择就是说出自己认为最准确的预期。
(1)您认为在B市场中对方有%的概率选择分摊风险。
| 您的选择 | 如果对方选择分摊风险,您获得2元的概率 | 如果对方拒绝分摊风险,您获得2元的概率 |
|---|---|---|
| 0% | 0% | 100% |
| 10% | 10% | 90% |
| 20% | 20% | 80% |
| 30% | 30% | 370% |
| 40% | 40% | 60% |
| 50% | 50% | 50% |
| 60% | 60% | 40% |
| 70% | 70% | 30% |
| 80% | 80% | 20% |
| 90% | 90% | 10% |
| 100% | 100% | 0% |
(2)您认为对方预测您在在B市场中选择分摊风险的概率为%。
| 您的回答/对方预测 | 0% | 10% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0% | 100% | 99% | 96% | 91% | 84% | 75% | 64% | 51% | 36% | 19% | 0% |
| 10% | 99% | 100% | 99% | 96% | 91% | 84% | 75% | 64% | 51% | 36% | 19% |
| 20% | 96% | 99% | 100% | 99% | 96% | 91% | 84% | 75% | 64% | 51% | 36% |
| 30% | 91% | 96% | 99% | 100% | 99% | 96% | 91% | 84% | 75% | 64% | 51% |
| 40% | 84% | 91% | 96% | 99% | 100% | 99% | 96% | 91% | 84% | 75% | 64% |
| 50% | 75% | 84% | 91% | 96% | 99% | 100% | 99% | 96% | 91% | 84% | 75% |
| 60% | 64% | 75% | 84% | 91% | 96% | 99% | 100% | 99% | 96% | 91% | 84% |
| 70% | 51% | 64% | 75% | 84% | 91% | 96% | 99% | 100% | 99% | 96% | 91% |
| 80% | 36% | 51% | 64% | 75% | 84% | 91% | 96% | 99% | 100% | 99% | 96% |
| 90% | 19% | 36% | 51% | 64% | 75% | 84% | 91% | 96% | 99% | 100% | 99% |
| 100% | 0% | 19% | 36% | 51% | 64% | 75% | 84% | 91% | 96% | 99% | 100% |
{{ endblock }}