{{ block title }} 由于A市场已购买保险,请回答以下问题 {{ endblock }} {{ block content }}

决策任务({{player.round_number}}/{{Constants.num_rounds}})

为了最大化您的收益,您最优的选择就是说出自己认为最准确的预期。

(1)您认为在B市场中对方有%的概率选择分摊风险。

您的选择 如果对方选择分摊风险,您获得2元的概率 如果对方拒绝分摊风险,您获得2元的概率
0% 0% 100%
10% 10% 90%
20% 20% 80%
30% 30% 370%
40% 40% 60%
50% 50% 50%
60% 60% 40%
70% 70% 30%
80% 80% 20%
90% 90% 10%
100% 100% 0%

(2)您认为对方预测您在在B市场中选择分摊风险的概率为%。

您的回答/对方预测 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%
0% 100% 99% 96% 91% 84% 75% 64% 51% 36% 19% 0%
10% 99% 100% 99% 96% 91% 84% 75% 64% 51% 36% 19%
20% 96% 99% 100% 99% 96% 91% 84% 75% 64% 51% 36%
30% 91% 96% 99% 100% 99% 96% 91% 84% 75% 64% 51%
40% 84% 91% 96% 99% 100% 99% 96% 91% 84% 75% 64%
50% 75% 84% 91% 96% 99% 100% 99% 96% 91% 84% 75%
60% 64% 75% 84% 91% 96% 99% 100% 99% 96% 91% 84%
70% 51% 64% 75% 84% 91% 96% 99% 100% 99% 96% 91%
80% 36% 51% 64% 75% 84% 91% 96% 99% 100% 99% 96%
90% 19% 36% 51% 64% 75% 84% 91% 96% 99% 100% 99%
100% 0% 19% 36% 51% 64% 75% 84% 91% 96% 99% 100%

{{ endblock }}