EverForecast uses a digital elevation model (DEM) to calculate water depths from water level surfaces (water level - DEM = water depth) in the hydrologic forecast. The DEM used in the northern part of Big Cypress National Preserve is appropriate for use at the regional scale and not appropriate for use for fine-detail analysis. EverForecast provides only regional-scale products online at jem.gov/everforeast. Downloaded model outputs may have a higher resolution but should be interpreted at the regional scale in this area of Big Cypress National Preserve.



SUGGESTED CITATIONS:

For EverForecast hydrologic forecasts, please use the following citation:
Pearlstine, L.G., J.M. Beerens, G. Reynolds, S.M. Haider, M. McKelvy, K. Suir, S.S. Romañach, and J.H. Nestler, 2020. Near-term spatial hydrologic forecasting in Everglades, USA for landscape planning and ecological forecasting. Environmental Modelling & Software, 132, p.104783. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envsoft.2020.104783

For multi-species comparisons, please use the following citation:
Romañach, S.S., Haider, S.M., Hackett, C., McKelvy, M. and Pearlstine, L.G., 2022. Managing multiple species with conflicting needs in the Greater Everglades. Ecological Indicators, 136, p.108669. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.108669

For species forecasts, please choose the appropriate citation(s) below.

American alligator:
Shinde, D., L. Pearlstine, L.A. Brandt, F.J. Mazzotti, M.W. Parry, B. Jeffery, and A. LoGalbo, 2014. Alligator Production Suitability Index Model (GATOR–PSIM v. 2.0): Ecological and Design Documentation. South Florida Natural Resources Center, Everglades National Park, Homestead, Florida, USA. Ecological Model Report. SFNRC Technical Series 2014:1.

Apple snail (EverSnail):
Darby, P.C., D.L. DeAngelis, S.S. Romañach, K. Suir, and J. Bridevaux, 2015. Modeling apple snail population dynamics on the Everglades landscape. Landscape Ecology 30(8): 1497–1510. DOI: 10.1007/s10980-015-0205-5

Small fish density:
Donalson, D., J. Trexler, D. DeAngelis, and A. Logalbo, 2010. Prey-based Freshwater Fish Density Performance Measure (Greater Everglades Aquatic Trophic Levels). DECOMP Performance Measure Documentation Sheet. United States Army Corps of Engineers, Jacksonville, Florida, USA.

Everglades snail kite (KiteNest):
More details describing model development and validation are available by request and will be available publicly as soon as publication is finalized: Benscoter, A.M., L.E. D’Acunto, S.M. Haider, R.J. Fletcher, Jr., and S.S. Romañach, In review. Nesting habitat suitability of the endangered Everglades snail kite (Rostrhamus sociabilis plumbeus).

Wading birds (EverWaders):
D’Acunto, L.E., L. Pearlstine, and S.S. Romañach, 2021. Joint species distribution models of Everglades wading birds to inform restoration planning. Plos one, 16(1), p.e0245973. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0245973

Cape Sable seaside sparrow (EverSparrow):
Haider, S.M., Benscoter, A.M., Pearlstine, L., D'Acunto, L.E. and Romañach, S.S., 2021. Landscape-scale drivers of endangered Cape Sable Seaside Sparrow (Ammospiza maritima mirabilis) presence using an ensemble modeling approach. Ecological Modelling, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2021.109774

