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| Question |
Your answers
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| 1 |
A
B
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| 2 |
5-6-7
5-6-7
5-6-7
5-6-7
5-6-7
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| 4 |
a. Yes
b. 123412342134
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Rank of Kia Motors on the Financial Times 2014 Global 500 list:
Lower: 5; Estimate: 5; Upper: 5
Rank of the McDonald's corporation on the Financial Times 2014 Global 500 list:
Lower: 5; Estimate: 5; Upper: 5
Market value of BlackBerry Limited as of February 2016 (in USD):
Lower: 5; Estimate: 5; Upper: 5
Number of grandparents in the United States as of May 2010, according to the 2010 US Census Bureau Report:
Lower: 5; Estimate: 5; Upper: 5
The population of India, as of December 2014:
Lower: 5; Estimate: 5; Upper: 5
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(most likely)
(least likely)
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Imagine that the United States is preparing for the outbreak of an unusual Asian disease, which is expected to kill 600 people. Two alternative programs to combat the disease have been proposed. Assume that the exact scientific estimates of the consequences of the programs are as follows:
Program A: If program A is adopted, 200 people will be saved.
Program B: If program B is adopted, there is a one-third probability that 600 people will be saved and a two-thirds probability that no one will be saved.
Which of the two programs would you favor, A or B?
The three numbers below follow a rule. Your job is figure out the rule. To learn more about the rule, come up with other sequences of three numbers. You can try up to five sequences, then guess the rule.
Enter a number sequence
Which is true? There are more words in the English language that
This two-part question has to do with the number of deer in the US state of Pennsylvania.
a. Do you estimate the number of deer in Pennsylvania to be over 500,000?
b. What is your estimate of the number of deer in Pennsylvania?
Linda is 31 years old, single, outspoken, and very smart. She majored in philosophy. As a student, she was deeply concerned with issues of discrimination and social justice, and she participated in antinuclear demonstrations.
Please rank the following eight descriptions (by dragging them) in order of the probability that they describe Linda:
Imagine that you personally hired a new salesperson, Brad. Two other members of your department wanted to hire someone else, but you talked them into hiring Brad, in part due to his strong recommendation from a friend of yours. Brad's sales for his first month are somewhat disappointing. You have made significant investments in his training. Should you fire him?
Suppose you decide to give Brad more time to prove himself. You give him a pep talk and he promises you that he will do better.
After another month, Brad still isn't meeting his sales target. He comes to you to apologize and outlines his strategy for bringing up his numbers. His strategy seems sound. Do you fire Brad or give him another chance?