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A consensus is forming among economists that the Federal Reserve will hold off on its next interest-rate increase until December. About 71% of the 62 economists surveyed by The Wall Street Journal this month said the Fed will next raise short-term rates at its Dec. In a July 31 speech, New York Fed President William Dudley argued “for caution in raising U.S. The ABC pattern shown is ugly enough to be useful, especially since it has already gifted us with a ‘counterintuitive’ buy signal at the green line that could have been worth as much as $900 per contract if traded. These words were screamed at my Laissez Faire colleague Nate Rifkin… in broad daylight… on his way to the Revolution Against Aging and Death festival last week. Libertarians enjoy accusing each other of blind devotion to their favorite ideas and thinkers. I find this state of affairs frustrating, all the more so because in many cases (and I assume everyone knows of at least a few examples) neither side is really interested in reaching an accord. With that in mind, I’d like to draw attention to some problems relating to the accusation of dogmatism. One of the most catastrophic things central banks have done in the post financial crisis period is destroy financial markets.
While actual macroeconomic and corporate fundamentals do still exert influence on financial asset prices from time to time, the far bigger driver of performance over the past several years is central bank policy. If the following headline from a Bloomberg article published today doesn’t give you the chills, you aren’t paying attention.
The recently reached accords actually push projects that the companies had originally planned for the first half of 2016 to the second half. Only seven weeks after British voters elected to leave the European Union, the bloc has begun to fracture along regional lines.
Monetary policy traditionally has involved adjusting a short-term rate of interest that can then, over time, affect the structure of long-term rates that are set by markets.

With so many people focused on the Dow and the Nasdaq hitting new all-time highs, many investors around the world haven’t noticed that the price of gold is having its biggest year since the historic spike in 1980. Lets start off by taking an indepth look at the INDU as a proxy for the other US stock markets. The next rally phase took out the previous high by 200 points up to 18,167 where the next decline began, but this time the bears could only push the price action down to the 17,330 area which looked like it might be an important low. The world’s billionaires have shifted into stockpiling an average of 22% of their income in cash because they are terrified the economy could crash.
Many of these people literally helped to build the system we all now rely upon, and now they are holding cash, gold and other assets our of fear that stocks will crash and digital instruments of wealth could be undermined, compromised or have their balance destroyed. The FTSE 100 smashed 6,900 for the first time this year in afternoon trade, enjoying its highest close in more than 14 months. Despite spending much of the day in negative territory a late surge in oil prices and a flurry of M&A chatter helped the blue chip index touch a fresh 2016 high. I had just recited “Stopping by Woods on a Snowy Evening” by Robert Frost in a giant auditorium in Mumbai, India.
All of the ‘external’ peaks on the hourly chart have been used up, however, so we’ll bide our time waiting to see whether buyers can power this vehicle past the target. Today, I’m going to hand the mic over to Nate, so he can describe a dark spectre that permeated the otherwise happy gathering. In fact, it almost seems like a major pastime in the liberty movement to make this charge, and to revel with others in self-congratulatory “gotcha!” moments directed toward members of the outgroup. The result is that both accusers and accused perpetuate disagreement and factional conflict. It starts with one side saying: “Look how crazy those supporters of X are!” In response, the supporters of X fight fire with fire.
Investors are no longer investors, they’re merely helpless rats running around the lunatic central planning maze desperately attempting to survive by front running the latest round of central bank purchases.

According to Greek media reports, the government in Athens is attempting to organize a summit of Southern European countries in early September, just days before a scheduled EU-wide conference in Bratislava. But central banks’ bond purchases and ultralow interest rates mean that distortions are rife. That is a sharp rise from the July survey, where half said policy makers would next move in December, and from the June survey, where just 7.8% held that view.
If so, it would imply that a larger pattern with the potential to reach 1424.60 is in play. So far, Greece has sent invitations to the leaders of France, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Cyprus and Malta. A very strong rally ensued which took the INDU up to the 17,975 area where it topped out and began another strong decline. Meanwhile, the pan-European Euro Stoxx 600 index erased all of its post-Brexit losses, rising 0.8pc. NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, COMMODITIES, OPTIONS, BONDS, OR FUTURES. In fact, investment demand for gold has now surpassed jewelry demand for the first time in history. This next decline ended in the same area as the August 2015 low and formed a double bottom which is a reversal pattern.

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23.11.2013 admin

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