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07.03.2014 admin
Whether or not equity markets can recover from the recent market shift may depend on the Fed’s next moves, and the overall uncertainty leaves us in favor of high-volatility trading strategies across highly-affected currency pairs. The Trading Strategy Bias table below highlights which currency pairs are at especially high risk of major moves and strategies we believe appropriate to given market conditions. Volatility Percentile – The higher the number, the more likely we are to see strong movements in price. Bias – Based on the above criteria, we assign the more likely profitable strategy for any given currency pair. OF ANY SPECIFIC TRADING PROGRAM WHICH CANNOT BE FULLY ACCOUNTED FOR IN THE PREPARATION OF HYPOTHETICAL PERFORMANCE RESULTS AND ALL OF WHICH CAN ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM. One of the main reasons for the failure of the traders is that they usually trade at the wrong time. While Forex Factory can be used with this browser, most features will not function as designed. We are broadly shifting in favor of more volatility-friendly strategies given the fairly substantial shift in broader sentiment.

This number tells us where current implied volatility levels stand in relation to the past 90 days of trading. A highly volatile currency pair (Volatility Percentile very high) suggests that we should look to use Breakout strategies. IN ADDITION, HYPOTHETICAL TRADING DOES NOT INVOLVE FINANCIAL RISK, AND NO HYPOTHETICAL TRADING RECORD CAN COMPLETELY ACCOUNT FOR THE IMPACT OF FINANCIAL RISK IN ACTUAL TRADING. The FXCM group will not accept liability for any loss or damage, including without limitation to, any loss of profit, which may arise directly or indirectly from use of or reliance contained in the trading signals, or in any accompanying chart analyses.
Below is an overview of the average pip movement for four major currency pairs for each day of the week.
This is a good day for trading if you want to lose all the profits that you scarcely have gained throughout the week.
Holidays are great for trading if you would rather lose your money than take a day off and enjoy the other beautiful things in life.
You can lose a fortune during the news announcement if you do not know what you’re doing.
We have found that implied volatilities tend to remain very high or very low for extended periods of time.

A value at or near 50 percent tells us that we are at the middle of the currency pair’s 90-day range.
More moderate volatility levels and strong Trend values make Momentum trades more attractive, while the lowest Vol Percentile and Trend indicator figures make Range Trading the more attractive strategy. FOR EXAMPLE, THE ABILITY TO WITHSTAND LOSSES OR TO ADHERE TO A PARTICULAR TRADING PROGRAM IN SPITE OF TRADING LOSSES IS MATERIAL POINTS WHICH CAN ALSO ADVERSELY AFFECT ACTUAL TRADING RESULTS. You can see that in the middle of the week, the biggest movement in all four major currency pairs. As such, it is helpful to know where the current implied volatility level stands in relation to its medium-term range. The combination of the two reconversions by the big players is the major reason for the extremely high volatility in the pairs.
As mentioned earlier, trade between the European currencies and the dollars picks up again because the large participants have to reshuffle their portfolios for the opening of the U.S.

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