Forex trade ideas,trading view googl stock,best time of the day to trade binary options - How to DIY

08.08.2014 admin
Forex tips, strategies, and analysis from experienced DailyFX analysts Free Resources DailyFX - Forex Trading News and Market Analysis English. Subscribe to Jamie Saettele's distribution list in order to receive FX trading strategy delivered to your inbox.
Trading Strategy: A possible outcome from a bond market breakout (not yet confirmed) and US equity indices at major resistance is a reversal from capital appreciation to capital preservation. DailyFX provides forex news and technical analysis on the trends that influence the global currency markets.Learn forex trading with a free practice account and trading charts from FXCM. EURCHF happened to be my worst trading mistake for the past year…and it is also one of my top setups in 2013. Last year I said that I thought a USDJPY long would be a top trade for 2012, and I believe 2013 will be another good year for the recently high-flying pair.
The Euro was spared the challenge of contending with a dovish ECB despite the onset of recession in the Eurozone as the central bank spent much of the year preoccupied with repairing the conduits of policy transmission torn by the region’s debt crisis. Coming into 2012, I held a bearish outlook for the EURGBP as the debt crisis dampened the outlook for the Euro-area, and the pair should resume the decline from 2011 amid the deviation in the policy outlook. At the same time, I’m holding a similar outlook for the AUDNZD as I anticipate the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to carry its easing cycle into the following year. This trade is more or less about playing British Pound weakness; and with the Canadian economy resilient, and a soon-to-be very dovish Mark Carney taking over the Bank of England governorship, the GBPCAD is indeed poised to trade lower throughout 2013.
Looking ahead to 2013, major changes to underlying activity levels and long-standing trends present considerable trade potential.
I am looking for a pullback from this pair in order to enter a long position that can last for many weeks and potentially months. Traders should be careful of the fact that the JPY-short (USDJPY-long) trade has gotten quite crowded as of late, and corrections are likely.


Recent developments offer an opportunity play for a substantial retracement of that decline.
The trade reflects the negative yield implications of a dovish shift in ECB policy on the Euro itself while capturing the supportive effects such a scenario would have on demand within the currency bloc. Traders continue to price in a considerable amount of RBA easing in the year ahead while its Kiwi counterpart remains on hold.
From a fundamental standpoint, it seems that the Bank of England is likely to stand-pat on further easing measures as inflationary concerns continue to limit the central bank’s scope for more quantitative easing. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) appears to be softening its dovish tone for monetary policy amid the growing threat for an asset bubble. A look at the charts shows a Symmetrical Triangle (perhaps alternately viewed as a multiyear Bear Flag) forming off of significant lows; the chart is suggesting that the pattern could break to the downside for new lows. Moving forward, I believe Euro-area trouble will see at least one or two more serious swells before the market can see a steady way forward for the battered region.
If, we cannot return all the way back to this well-trodden base, I will start looking for higher entry; but the size will be within my normal range. The reasons are simple: Japanese politicians will look for JPY depreciation and US yields seem likely to head higher. Yet the US Federal Reserve recently announced that it would offer further stimulus to keep interest rates lower through the foreseeable future. The implications from this pattern are for a breakdown towards the head and shoulders objective near 11000. While this bodes well for sovereign stability, it likewise opens the door for the ECB to reorient its efforts toward rebooting growth as shrinking risk premiums create an opening for effective monetary stimulus. Indeed, Sweden is a major exporter to the Eurozone, meaning a pickup in the common currency region would be supportive for growth and help interest rates.


Indeed, Sir Mervyn King cited expectations for inflation to run above the 2% target over the next 18-months, posing a barrier to further policy stimulus.
Considering that the termination point of this pattern comes in August 2013, a setup for a move to new lows may present itself sometime in 2Q’13.
It may take time for the debt and fiscal crises in Europe to work through, but this pair offers an unusually resilient level of support to wait out that eventuality. In turn, a growing number of central bank officials may adopt a more hawkish tone in 2013 as the Funding for Lending scheme begins to work its way through the real economy. As such, Dollar strength may remain limited in the short-run until there is significant improvement in the unemployment rate, further supporting our bias for a stronger Pound. In contrast, we saw the Bank of England (BoE) drop its dovish tone for monetary policy amid the stickiness in price growth. From the Canadian dollar’s side, the BoC is perhaps the most hawkish central bank and the IMF have put the currency under review for a reserve status. In turn, a growing number of BoE officials may start to discuss a tentative exit strategy in the coming months and I will preserve a bearish forecast for the EURGBP as the pair persistently carves out a lower top ahead of the New Year. The pair may ultimately give back the rebound from 2010 as the outlook for monetary policy reinforces a bearish forecast for the Aussie-Kiwi. Trading through 13029 would warrant a breakout strategy for continuation towards 14300 and 15200-15450. Additionally, we may see the Sterling outperform next year as the BoE looks to address the risk for inflation.



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