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The world economy continues to expand at rates well below the trends that preceded the advent of the global crisis in 2008 and is unable to close the significant employment and social gaps that have emerged. The global employment gap, which measures the number of jobs lost since the start of the crisis, currently stands at 61 million. The first edition of the new, annual flagship report, entitled The Changing Nature of Jobs, shows that while wage and salaried work is growing worldwide, it still accounts for only half of global employment, with wide variations across regions. Nearly 73 per cent of the global jobs gap in 2014 was due to a shortfall in employment among women who make up only around 40 per cent of the global labour force. In addition to the reduction in the global wage bill due to the jobs gap, slower wage growth has also had a substantial impact on the aggregate wage bill. Ontario started the New Year with very little change in its jobs numbers: the employment rate is holding steady but there is a shift in part-time job growth. Despite the bad news on the job front in January – massive Target Canada layoffs and the closing of Wrigley’s chewing gum factory in Toronto – Ontario created a 1,300 jobs last month. The devil is in the details: Ontario lost 23,200 full-time jobs and gained 24,400 part-time jobs. That’s a shift from Ontario’s 2014 job trends – a year where more than 90%of the province’s new jobs were full-time.

Given governments’ reliance on consumer spending to help drive economic growth, wage stagnation is a red flag trend: workers are not seeing an increase in their purchasing power. Add to the trend this development: the largest increase in employment came in the category of self-employment, where a total of 20,000 jobs were added in January. A year-over-year comparison of temporary work suggests that Ontario is following a similar path as British Columbia: it’s creating more temporary than permanent jobs.
Ontario’s jobs report is, once again, lacklustre and wage stagnation trends don’t make the job news any easier to digest. The latest job vacancy data was released by the MOM this week and our analysis of the data shows that the overall number of vacancies for support roles (administrative, sales and service staff) in Singapore remained relatively unchanged at approximately 17,000 vacancies as at the end of June 2015 (see chart). Overall in Singapore, the total number of vacancies outnumber the jobs by 120 jobs for every 100 job seekers, a trend that has been maintained since the middle of 2010, when labour regulations were tightened in Singapore. Stay in touch with us and continue to check back to keep up to date as we track the global and local economic trends and the impact that will have for employers and job seekers alike. If new labour market entrants over the next five years are taken into account, an additional 280 million jobs need to be created by 2019 to close the global employment gap caused by the crisis. In the majority of countries with available information, part-time jobs outpaced gains in full-time jobs between 2009 and 2013.

And, global unemployment is expected to increase by 3 million in 2015 and by a further 8 million in the following four years. This increase suggests that the total number of jobs in the support role sector (~550,000 jobs) is on the decline. The heightened youth unemployment situation is common to all regions and is occurring despite the trend improvement in educational attainment, thereby fuelling social discontent. Job seekers would do well to heed these signs, especially with economic uncertainty on the horizon. Q3 is once again likely to see the seasonal increase in vacancies after the bonus season (see chart) so now might be the time for job seekers to step up their job search.

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