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COMMENTEMAILMOREWhether the Federal Reserve pulls the trigger on an interest rate hike next month at its final meeting of the year could hinge on how many jobs the U.S. The ADP jobs report could take on more importance if the Bureau of Labor Statistics is hampered by the government shutdown. Economists expect another month of modest improvement in the labor market, and forecast nonfarm payrolls growth of 180,000 jobs. The Fed will be paying close attention to the figures in this last payrolls report before the Federal Open Market Committee meeting in late October.


Other data to be released during the week include the Institute for Supply Management, or ISM, reports on manufacturing and nonmanufacturing activity, each of which is expected to show a slightly slower pace of expansion in September than in August. The latest jobs report will further drive the "misery index" to its lowest level in more than half a century. Dudley (a voter on the FOMC) gives introductory remarks before the New York Fed’s “‘Fire Sales’ as a Driver of Systemic Risk in Tri-Party Repo and Other Secured Funding Markets” workshop.
Stein (a voter on the FOMC) speaks on “Fire Sales and Securities Financing Transactions” at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York “‘Fire Sales’ as a Driver of Systemic Risk in Tri-Party Repo and Other Secured Funding Markets” workshop.

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