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admin 19.11.2015

This Chart Shows Why Earnings May Have Finally Reached Their BottomGoldman Sachs projects EPS growth in the third quarter may be positive for the first time in nearly two years.
With the bulk of the earnings season now over, the second quarter of 2016 marks the seventh consecutive quarter of falling earnings — but investors are now turning their focus to the future. What’s more, the team of analysts projected that EPS growth in the third quarter may be positive for the first time in nearly two years. Noah Smith has acknowledged the failings of mainstream macroeconomics, but he says that none of the “outside ideas” offer a better replacement. Smith dismisses all outside approaches that do not produce quantitative forecasts, even though the best, newest, and high-powered quantitative macroeconomic models have failed recently. The quantitative approach, however, totally misses the nature of human action, the fundamental starting point for economics. Data for housing starts and industrial production are due out Tuesday, but even if both pointed toward recession, it’s doubtful they’ll have much impact on investors who have already shrugged off four straight quarters of falling corporate earnings.
Stocks were in wafting mode as the new week began, and although the E-Mini S&Ps stalled precisely at a rally target we’d been using since last week, it was a minor one that seemed unlikely to impede the inexorable flow of cash into stocks for long.

For all the hand-wringing about the threat to liberty and constitutional government posed by the major party presidential candidates, there is little discussion of how this threat is due to the political class’s long history of supporting expanded presidential power.
Since war is the health of the state, it is not surprising that presidential power expanded in tandem with the expansion of the warfare state.
With gold and silver still consolidating recent gains, one of the legends in the business warned a panic to own physical gold is coming. From the late, great, Richard Russell: “The great deflationary forces that are overpowering central banks everywhere have settled in.
After all that time claiming to be “neutral” as the head of the Democratic National Committee, Debbie Wasserman-Schultz let down her guard this week and admitted she had actually been working ‘to prepare for Hillary Clinton to be [their] nominee’ and to ensure her election.
And the Wikileaks dump confirmed it, brought it out into the open, forced Debbie to step down as head of the DNC… but low and behold, just went to work as the chairman of Hillary’s campaign anyway. He failed to mention the Austrian school, but we can still show how the Austrian tradition parries his criticisms with ease.
All economics boils down to individuals making choices, the outcome of which is dependent on individuals’ preferences.

There is also little talk of how the imperial presidency is just as much a creation of Congress as it is of power-hungry presidents.
Perhaps the best, and most terrifying, example of how “national security” has been used to justify giving the president dictatorial powers is the Defense Production Act.
In an effort to combat the world deflationary forces, every nation wants a cheaper currency to benefit their exports. The result will be a limited-time explosion with assets priced in terms of soaring fiat currencies. NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, COMMODITIES, OPTIONS, BONDS, OR FUTURES.

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