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This chapter explains why you should read this book and how it can help you with any computer performance problem, now or in the future. There are so many different technologies in your transaction path; to read all the necessary books would take longer than the average corporate lifetime. Almost all manuals about a specific version of a technology were written under tremendous time pressure at about the same time the engineering was being completed; thus the engineers had little time to talk to the writers. What I’m about to tell you will work for any collection of computers, running any software that has ever been built. Whether you are studying the slow response time of a computer, the root cause of a traffic jam, or why you are always in the slowest line, understanding those forces gives you a big insight into why this is happening. Many parts of this book help you solve the diversity and complexity problems mentioned earlier by helping you quickly determine that large chunks of your computing infrastructure are not the problem. Once focused, a large fraction of everyone’s effort is spent working in the right place and on the right problem. If you can replace S with the number 2 and U with the number 0.5 and calculate that R is equal to (spoiler alert) 4, then you have all the math you need for a long career in performance. In the future, money will still be important, humans will still want to avoid risk, office politics will still matter, and there will be many ways that you can be right, but still fail because you did not pay attention to the people involved. Having worked many performance problems from problem discovery, through solution presentation to senior management, and then on to problem resolution, I’ve made a few mistakes and learned a few tricks.
If you are impressed with work experience, then read on as I’ve spent the last 25 years teaching performance fundamentals, capacity planning, modeling, and performance testing of websites.
If you are a person who is only impressed with academic qualifications then I have few to offer you. All companies have an internal language and shorthand terms they use when describing the subset of the entire computing universe that determines their customer’s experience. In performance monitoring you need to know three things: the incoming workload, the resource consumption and what is normal.
You need to know the incoming workload (what the users are asking your system to do) because all computers run just fine under no load. Expected problems are when the users are simply asking the application for more things per second than it can do. Unexpected problems are when the incoming workload should be well within the capabilities of the application, but something is wrong and either the end-user performance is bad or some performance meter makes no sense. On any given day you, as the performance person, should be able to have a fairly good idea of how much work the users are asking the system to do and what the major performance meters are showing. With rare exception I’ve found the lack of easily available workload information to be the single best predictor of how bad the situation is performance wise.
The data you collect can also be used to predict the future with the other three tools in your bag: Capacity Planning, Load Testing, and Modeling.
Capacity planning is the simple science of scaling the observed system so you can see if you have enough resources to handle the projected peak load, but it only works for resources you know about. Capacity planning is like a pre-party checklist where you check if there are enough: appetizers, drinks, glasses, places to sit, etc. Now scale (multiply) the observed meters by the boss’s answer to get the projected peak utilization. In my experience, the application is rarely reengineered unless the inefficiency is egregious and the fix is easy and obvious. Capacity planning can be that simple, but there are a few more things you need to consider. Even though you base your projections on one peak day, you should look at the data over a period of a few days to a few weeks. Capacity planning can show you how busy key resources are at peak load, but it can’t tell you about response time changes as the load increases.
Load testing is the art of creating artificially generated work that mimics the real work generated by the real users.
Load tests depend on good performance monitoring to keep an eye on critical system resources as the load builds. For a load test to be really useful it must test the entire part of the transaction path that you care about.
Load testing can also help you find where subsystems break, and isolate the effect of one transaction type.
Load testing can tell you many interesting things, but it can only give you data on the computing infrastructure you have now. If you need to predict a future that is different from your present, then you need to model. This model of Hurricane Irene is accurate enough for anyone with a house on the Gulf of Mexico and it looks hopeful for Florida’s Atlantic coast as well. Unfortunately, the above model of Hurricane Irene, at that moment, could not see far enough into the future to predict the devastating flooding Irene would cause in my home state of Vermont. If you respect these limits, modeling is doable, useful and has its place when you are asking questions about the future. This chapter gives you practical advice on how to load test an existing application to see if can really handle the upcoming peak. This chapter dispels the myth of modeling complexity and shows how modeling performance can save you a lot of time and money. This chapter teaches you how to present your results so that they are understood and are believable.
This book is concise, useful, and occasionally funny.  It gives you the tools needed to explore, and discover the hidden truths about your computing world. Unfortunately, the above model of Hurricane Irene, at that moment, could not see far enough into the future to predict the devastating flooding Irene would cause in my home state of Vermont.  All models have limits. One of the most interesting lines this week is fittingly on one of the most interesting games. One of the most prevalent myths about economic freedom is that it inevitably leads to monopolies.
There is no evidence he believes in a growth agenda, unless of course you are talking about growing the size of government. Not only has sea level not risen by a foot, but there is a natural component to this sea level rise.
You can argue how much of the sea level rise was caused by humans, but you can’t honestly argue that a foot has been caused by humans over the last 100 years.
I’ve never been a fan or a critic of Joe Paterno, but the Freeh report about Jerry Sandusky’s child molestation paints a bad picture of JoPa.
The Greeks are a bit touchy these days, especially with Christine Lagarde’s admonition for them to pay their debt. If you follow the advice of many financial professionals they will tell you that buying and holding quality shares over the long run is a sound investment. Let's use the S&P500 which is the still the world's best benchmark to track is an example.
Here is a very simple trading system which keeps you in during the good periods and gets you out during the poor years.
Based on this you would have been out of the market in January 2008 and still be out, saving you a lot of pain. On a shorter term view I do see some attempt for markets to bounce between now and the end of the year. I am the first one to admit that the bullish call on Gold is not looking great, however its not over yet, and do remember any one buying Gold at the start of the year is far better off than anyone that had bought the stockmarket. In times when everyone is focused on minute by minute moves its sometimes good to a step back and look at the longer term picture.
They help you make sense out of the performance meters you do understand and help keep you from making big mistakes.
It shows you how to use the scientific method to decipher what they mean and how to find patterns in the raw data. This rapidly focuses your company’s full and undivided attention on the small part of your computing world (System Z) that is causing the performance problem.
Now, the right experts can be consulted and business decisions can be made to fix or work around the problem. I spent about 15 of those years also doing performance work on live systems and critical applications for customers around the world. Back in the 70’s he wrote this wonderful little book about repairing literally any bicycle.
It usually includes dealing with immediate performance problems or collecting data that will be used by the other three tools to plan for future peak loads.
Without these three things you can only solve the most obvious performance problems and have to rely on tools outside the scientific realm (such as a Ouija Board, or a Magic 8 Ball) to predict the future. If you have a good sense of what is normal for your situation, then any abnormality will jump right out at you in the same way you notice subtle changes in a loved one that a stranger would miss. Your meters should be running all the time (like bank security cameras) so that when weird things happen you have a multitude of clues to look at. Assuming you know how many guests will show up and have a reasonable understanding of what they will consume, everything you checked should be fine.
Almost any day will do, as long as the system load is high enough to clearly differentiate it from the idle system load. In most situations, people tend to value application stability more than the money they will spend to solve the problem with more hardware. This gives you a clear picture where the usual daily peaks are and if there are things going on at odd times that you have to factor into any changes you propose.
Even if you had perfect metering, doing the math would be a staggering challenge and, even, then you’d be gambling the business on reams of calculations. These resources take a little more work and creativity to capacity plan for, but this is completely doable. The overall load starts off low and then increases in stages to the point where you achieved your goal or you fail because some resource has hit a limit and has become a bottleneck. For any test you need to know how much work you are sending into the system, the throughput and response time for the completed work, and how the system resources are responding under that load.

If your product is your website then you need to test from where your users are: all the way in and all the way back to where they live.
If you only got half way to your goal before you hit a bottleneck, then every measured resource is going to be doing twice the work once you fix the current bottleneck. Imagine your workload is an even mix of Red and Blue transactions, but it is the Blue transactions that really exercise some key component of your computing world.
To use a metaphor, running a race tells you about your current aerobic capacity, not the capacity you will have after six more months of training. To model, you are going to need the data you collected with performance monitoring and maybe some data from load tests. Everyday, in companies all over the world, regular people build simple models that answer important business questions.
If circumstances change so much that you lack confidence in that prediction, then try modeling. Either you can directly measure the performance of a live system under load, or you have to guess about a theoretical future situation.
It doesn’t take a genius to understand that your model could be off by a lot and the server would still have plenty of CPU power left.
This chapter gives you the keys to understanding all computer performance problems and provides an important foundation for the next four chapters.
With it, and some work on your part, you’ll be able to solve performance problems and to walk into the CIO’s office with confidence. There are utilization meters that tell you how busy a resource is, there are count meters that count interesting events (some good, some bad), and there are duration meters that tell you how long something took. Counting playoffs, the 49ers had more penalties for offensive holding (26) than Kaepernick had rushing attempts on zone-read plays (21).
He said the sea level in New York City is a foot higher than a century ago because of man-made climate change.
He served as the chief scientist at the Environmental Defense Fund, was one of the people who began the U.N. Whilst this may be true over 25 or 50 years the last 10 years have been dead money from anyone tracking the markets. I really cannot see the S&P500 closing the year down 40%, so some sort of upside is due, but even if we do get this 2008 is going to be a year most investors want to forget. Here is a chart going back to 1982 and long term trend line in red calls for a move to around 7,000. There are always things to do, things to learn, things to prepare for, and experiments to run.
These patterns can tell you useful things about what’s going on inside the giant black box that is your computing world. I had three majors (Wildlife Biology, Botany and Computer Science) but I have no degree as I left college when I ran out of money and got my first job in the computer industry. Clarity is essential when explaining to senior management that they need to spend large amounts of money. There are many other parts that you don’t control, can’t meter, and have no clue how they do their work. Expected problems are no fun, but they can be foreseen and, depending on the situation, your response might be to endure them, because money is tight or because the fix might introduce too much risk.
This could be a simple case of them not caring about doing a good job, but my more charitable assessment is that he had no idea what “normal” was, so everything the register told him had to be taken at face value.
This can save your bacon because if you spot the unexpected utilization before the peak occurs, then you have time to find and fix the problem before the system comes under a peak load. However, even if you miss something, you are still better off having planned for reasonable amounts of the key resources.
I’m very sure the CIO looking at all this complex math would feel very uneasy betting his or her job on these calculations. If you need more confidence in your plan, or you need to hold the response time down to a reasonable level, or if the future you are planning for includes significant changes to the transaction mix or vital systems, then you need to do either Load Testing or Modeling. If you (and your boss) only have responsibility for a small subset of the entire transaction path then that’s all you really need to test. So take all the peak measurements and double them to get a good idea of what you are likely to run out of as you push the test to the goal load. Create a load test that sends in all Blue transactions and you can collect the data you need without the interference of the Red transactions. Examples of big changes that preclude simple capacity planning might be things like, large application or middleware changes or a big change in the incoming workload. The closer to the utilization limit (or the projected storm track), the more precise you have to make your model. As the commemorative plate infomercial says: “Collect them all!”  Please don’t wait for perfection.
But in one of the more difficult circumstances he did nothing and let an evil man abuse children. Whilst no one can say for certain 7,000 should hold up and produce some sort of a bounce, however this does not mean it's the start of a new bull market, its just some temporary relief. I would arrive knowing almost nothing about their business and their problems and leave having given them a clear path to follow. Furthermore, there are limits placed on you due to politics, time, budget, legal restrictions, and the tools you have available. Modeling is the only way to project the performance of an application in the design stage where there is no performance data to scale. Ask them for specific names of the villains who ran these trusts, and they are likely to point to such people as Cornelius Vanderbilt and John D. I like people and if I couldn’t make my classes useful, interesting, and relevant, then I would have stopped teaching a long time ago.
As the commemorative plate infomercial says: “Collect them all!” Please don’t wait for perfection. What is interesting, however, is that approximately 55 percent of the betting public is on the Giants, meaning the line is moving against the money. First of all, the coach screwed up for not stopping Sandusky in the act, but Paterno screwed up for not stopping Sandusky then. But Vanderbilt, Rockefeller, and many of the others referred to as robber barons started their businesses from scratch and were granted no special privileges. Moreover, not only did they earn their money and not only were they not granted privileges, but they also helped consumers and, in one famous case, destroyed a monopoly. The quotes keep the phrase as a single unit so you don't get the word CIA every time it's been used.     The Snopes Report is the first hit. Here it explains the falsehood of the CIA lab error.     So, to answer your question, I think your idea is pretty good. But you should be aware that the story of Chicken Little is not  a "fable character." While he did say "The sky is falling" quite a bit, this was only because he had difficulty making contact the his agent provocateur whose actual physical appearance had changed over the years. That's one of the difficulties of using a mole.     The mission, which has now been largely covered up in concert with an out-of-town movie studio, was to determine if an other-worldly creature was being used as a probe for an invasion of Earth or not. Many thought that this was the case, but Chicken Little knew his contact would be able to give him the correct answer.     Eventually he received the correct counter code to "The sky is falling" from the mole who informed him that there was no invasion.
It was merely an alien entrepeneur who was the advance agent to make a deal to sell the formula for what we know know as Velcro to our world.     For his efforts, Chicken Little (not his real name) was awarded the Honored Colleague Award by the CIA. What I thought would be a nine-hole outing turned into eighteen holes and a White House visit and a Presidential appointment in 1969. It doesn't matter what your heritage is or whether you are still in high school or old enough for Medicare. In your story on stadium horns, you called them vuvuzwelas, what is that funny looking symbol after the photo credits. He is now in jail serving a life sentence for the murder of a black Deputy Sherrif in Fulton County, Georgia. Brian McIntyre.  He was sitting almost alone and there was no one waiting in line (compared to today's media circus).
The image can be used freely, subject to some restrictive terms in the license, including crediting the photographer. It looks to me like he called on Curtis LeMay, Colonel Clearwater - and then realizing he had made a mistake - schluffed it into Colonel Kilgore. He stepped in front of me and said "I got it." It would be the start of the 4th quarter that Mark returned to the press table table and apologize for his unprofessional actions.
Media pressrooms at Deadline are still the last plantations.  Pioneering broadcaster and former NBA CBS basketball analyst Sonny Hill and now a sports talk show host on WIP Radio in Philadelphia said, "I am not surprised by Rhoden's statement, very little has changed in media pressrooms.
Here's a photo of American school children using the original Bellamy salute: I think the photo speaks for itself. Fundamentalists, in any religion, are usually a reaction to what the followers perceive as injustice. This doesn't mean Egyptian society and culture will necessarily change; it is still their culture and values. But in the long run any thing they make of it will be for their benefit (and not the benefit of the United States).
Not by rampeling down the side of the building like Tom Cruise, but by sliding in with a tourist visa when it was not open to tourists. Clearwater: Republicans are betting that your readers don't care - that after all you did to beat them in 2006 and 2008, you're going to sit this one out. So they're whipping up their base by blocking help to unemployed workers, blocking summer jobs for teens, apologizing to the big companies that gave us the spill in the Gulf, and doing anything else they can do to stop progress. Yes, that Rand Paul, who says freedom means a private business can discriminate against African-Americans, and that President Obama holding polluters accountable for the mess in the Gulf is "un-American." And he's not alone. In New Hampshire, Paul Hodes is running neck-and-neck with his Republican opponent to take this seat for the Democrats.
We've just started to turn our country around, passing healthcare reform, working to hold the big banks accountable for the Wall Street meltdown, pushing legislation to address climate change and end our addiction to oil. His teams were perennial losers on the court and in attendance, but he picked up his check every two weeks and kept his mouth shut.

I think the Republicans should adopt as their emblem the condom because it more clearly reflects the party's political stance. A condom stands for inflation, halts production, destroys the next generation, protects a bunch of pricks, and gives one a sense of security while screwing others.
Weiner's report showed that this firm, which sells gold coins, rips off its customers while benefiting directly from Beck's Chicken Little lunacy about the economy.
Every time Beck screams that there is an impending Obama-led government takeover of the economy and your savings aren't safe, he's making a sales pitch for this sleazy advertiser. Slave owners lived by the credo and in modern day history there was the late Senator Strom Thurmond.
Now that he's been exposed, Beck has spent the last week using his big media platform to attack and undermine Weiner - he even set up an attack website designed to damage Weiner's political standing. And we need to support people like Weiner, who have the guts to go after right-wing lunacy at the source. The game had been played in the Bahamas the previous year without incident or controversy. It was obvious that there was a power-play being made by the league office to cancel the game. Consider his statement: "I beg you, look for the words 'social justice' or 'economic justice' on your church Web site.
I tried to explain that playing the game was no different then one of the players participating in a pick-up game on a New York City playground in the off season. That oil disaster must be stopped, and a way must be found."I am not the original author of that sensible thought, but it has been my favorite definition of faith for a while. While we have no way of certainty for moving past them, working to find a pathway that takes us beyond our doubts is the best option in my view.
Wants to KnowDear Wants to Know, As I said in an earlier reply, our countrys laws and structure are not based on the God of the Bible and the Ten Commandments, as Sarah Palin and others claim. This award was longed overdue and I wonder why it took the NAACP so long to finally recognized Mr. The Constitution states that the president must take an oath, but it does not mention anything about a Bible. Wants to Know MoreDear Wants to Know More, It is important to realize the difference between a custom and a tradition. Sharpton is Obama's point man in the black community.   The NAACP, the National Urban League, and the National Action Network met alongside other organizations for the second time this year to discuss a "Black Agenda" for the president, Politics 365 reports. The coalition stated it will urge President Obama to mention an urban jobs plan in his state of the Union speech on February 12th----Good luck! A tradition is a ceremony invented for the purpose of commemorating some historical event or to develop a sense of binding in a community or religious group.
Thanksgiving Day is a tradition in America that serves the purpose of reminding us of what we have from God for which to be thankful and is loosely based on the first harvest feast of the Pilgrims to celebrate their first year of survival in the New World. Ben Carson of John Hopkins University Hospital.  His prayer and message was centered around health care, the economy, American debt, and tax reform, thus taking dead aim at President Obama's platform for the nation.
Carson spend 25 minutes talking about the nation's ills and solutions with the President sitting less than 5 feet from him.  When all was said and done, President Obama was not looking so Presidential! When Congress meets, the first thing that happens is that the designated speaker calls the group together. Carson set the record straight from the very beginning.  He made it clear he was not taking any wooden nickels. He told Hannity, " I received overwhelmingly reactions since the speech, mostly because I believe I did not present a conservative argument, but a logical, common sense point of view.  I don't know where we left our brains."  I think he really lost the President on that one!
Carson or took anything from the suggestion of the NAACP and the Urban League to mention establishing an urban jobs program for black America during his state of the Union speech---Good luck again! I remember the television promo for Black Historical Colleges that said "A mind is a terrible thing to waste" the same can be said about one's ego!  See Dr.
Colonel ClearwaterDear Colonel Clearwater, I have just seen a video about an organization called the Council on Foreign Relations.
This organization has members who were past Presidents and past Secretary of States of the United States, plus leaders in the fields of finance, industry, and other important positions in society.
The spokesman on the video has concluded that this organization must be a part of world conspiracy to take over the world and put the entire world under a one-world socialist government and I agree with him.
The Council on Foreign Relations (CFR) is an organization of foreign policy experts, people concerned with international trade, prominent historians and writers, as well as others who are involved with foreign policy and international affairs. The CFR hold speaking events with question-and-answer periods which are usually televised on CSpan or other cable stations. The speakers are usually world leaders, historians, writers, or others involved in international affairs. Some of the speakers have included such figures as Nelson Mandela, George Soros, Thomas Friedman, Mikhail Gorbachev, and Ronald Reagan. A BLACK HISTORY MONTH MOMENT!   NASCAR's 19 year old Darrell Wallace is ready willing and able.  It won't be a Jackie Robinson moment (first black to play baseball in the Major Leagues). The journal, which I have subscribed to and read for over 25 years (plus you can buy it at the newsstands in Borders or Barnes and Noble) provides a forum for contrasting views and opinions regarding issues affecting foreign policy.
Some people have made a nice living scarring others with conspiracy theories about the CFR.
My advice to you is to go to the store, buy and read their journal, watch their events on CSpan, and be wary of people who wish to sell you on the idea that other people are out to get you. In 2010, he became that series' youngest driver and the first black driver to win a race at Greenville-Pickens Speedway. And no matter how great the obstacles may seem, we must never stop our efforts to reduce the weapons of war. I realize that there is collateral damage in war, but this is no less than cold-blooded genocide. If they show up, they usually just sit and do nothing, root through her jewelry and personal effects, and some have been caught stealing jewelry.
One was there when she collapsed with another stroke, and instead of calling for help, she called her boyfriend and left, leaving her patient to manage on her own. My opinions about Tiger Woods or any other issue are mine and I could give a damn about what Feinstein or anybody else things about them. And I let him know that in very specific language that best belongs on HBO.This isn’t the first time Wilbon has been called out for “sucking up” to athletes (he haswritten books with Charles Barkley and Michael Jordan). Leahy argues, came at the cost of ever being able to write something critical about his celebrity subject.Mike Wilbon and Tony Kornheiser are immensely talented individuals and about 15 years ago, they were our sports writing idols. In their prime at the Washington Post, they were among the best sports writers in the country. They were shooting at insurgents who, upon later investigation, turned out to be civilians. By saying the soldiers were shooting civilans implies that they knew they were shooting civiliansj.
The real guilty party are those who convinced the American public that this war was necessary and just. The worst, were Leonard Sharpiro, Norman Chad, Dave Kindred, Tom Boswell, John Feinsteinand Tony Cornheiser (aka Howdy & Doody).
With the high-scoring Macauley, elite passer Cousy, and new prodigy Sharman, Auerbach had a core that provided high-octane fast-break basketball.
In the next years until 1956, the Celtics would make the playoffs every year, but never won the title. Palin:Your statement reminds me of what Republican Congressman, Devin Nunes said during the health care vote. First, he famously snubbed Hall-of-Fame New England point guard Bob Cousy in the 1950 NBA Draft, infuriating the Boston crowd.
And now you are bringing the ghosts back into this chamber." There is no polite way to get around this. Much like the resurgence of the Ku Klux Klan after World War I, the Tea Party Patriots are people who believe they have lost their privileged status in American society and wish to thwart others hopes for the American dream.
Unfortunately, or fortunately (depending on which editor yells loudest) President Obama considers Wall Street, the banks, the Republicans in congress, and those with tea party policies as necessary players in the solution when they are, in fact, part of the problem. Colonel Clearwater  Dear Colonel Clearwater:The House of Representatives is going to pass the new health care bill without a vote Sunday. I tried to explain that playing the game was no different then one of the players participating in a pick-up game on a New York City playground in the off season. Both the Senior Citizens' Right to Work Act and the Family Medical Leave Act were passed this way. We never could have made it without them.I have given up on the Pigskin Club, but keeping hope alive for the DC Recreation Department and the Roving Leader Program. We were once Petey Green, and Al Green Full of Love and Happiness, but the loss of community, self-esteem, and our integrity, we have taken on the characteristics of our oppressors.     REMEMBERING MY BROTHER SGT. BELL 12-25-1940---8-1-2013 A GOOD COP WHO BROKE THE CODE OF SILENCE IN THE WASHINGTON, DC POLICE DEPARTMENT. If the victim dies, that just means there will one less witness around to contradict the test-lie.
The Founding Fathers were both conservative and liberals, and they made sure in the Constitution that religious extremists would never gain authority of the laws. Yet predictably enough the detective union leader, Michael Palladino, was out there making excuses for him, suggesting that, well, it was only one incident, and everyone has a bad day. Sugar (Boxing), Lee Jones (NBA), Roy Jefferson (NFL) and Harold McLinton (NFL), finding pro athletes like them today are far, few and in-between. Many have claim that I was a great athlete, but I know a great athlete when I see one and I am not one of them.
Leo Hill kicked me to the curve for stealing home to lose a ball game with our best hitter at the plate and final at bat. William Roundtree the basketball coach made me turn in my uniform my senior year when I decided to switch from top defender to top scorer.

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