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The second benchmark for Obama’s picks was the one used to score brackets for accuracy: how many games the teams won. Obama predicted wins for 32 teams seeded 10 and below, from the round of 64 on, for the seven men’s tournaments from 2008 to 2014.14 Yet 50 percent more teams have won at least one game.

The president has predicted a far smaller number of round-of-64 upsets than the tournaments have produced, and in the last seven tournaments he’s forecast just one men’s team with a seed below 9 to win more than one game.
I counted only wins from the round of 64 on, since the brackets Obama entered didn’t require entrants to predict play-in games.

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