Calculate the probability of making money in an option trade with this free Excel spreadsheet. Buying and selling options is risky, and traders need tools to help to gauge the probability of success. European put finishing in the money (that is, the probability that the strike price is above the market price at maturity).


This spreadsheet implements the equations above and helps you calculate the probability that your trade will be successful.
Traders often use delta as approximation of the likelihood of an option finishing in the money.





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