With the Crimea vote for independence and annexation into the Russian federal now past, U.S. While the White House tends to avoid commenting on shifts in financial markets, Carney said U.S. Arends provides three reasons why he is going to invest in Russia despite the fact that it is a corrupt dictatorship embroiled in international crisis with its leader risking isolation and embargo. The 60% club, reserved for asset classes which have fallen more than 60% from their all-time peak. The Moscow market plunged on Monday in the wake of President Vladimir Putin’s invasion of the Crimea and the potential for a war over the Ukraine.
The Russian market is down 59%, in US dollar terms, from the all-time high seen in the spring of 2008, according to market data firm MSCI. You didn’t see these people being bullish of, say, gold at $250 an ounce, or Las Vegas real estate in 2011, or Greek stocks in 2012. The world market trades on 15 times forecast earnings, and United States stocks 17 times, according to estimates.
Remember this is still speculation and you should probably consult your portfolio manager before taking the leap into the Russian market.
Britain got a taste of the Russian Mafia state in action in October 2006, when the Russian state perpetuated what amounted to a nuclear terrorist dirty bomb attack on London that spread the highly radioactive polonium-210 across central London so as to kill a former KGB agent turned critic of the regime, Alexander Litvinenko, unfortunately for the Russian regime, Litvinenko managed to cling on to life long enough to point the finger at Putin's Kremlin in a statement delivered in hospital two days before he died. May God forgive you for what you have done, not only to me but to beloved Russia and its people.
Litvinenko had written two books in the UK criticising the regime in Russian Regime - books, Blowing up Russia: Terror from Within and Lubyanka Criminal Group, where he accused Russian secret services of staging the Russian apartment bombings and other terrorism acts in an effort to bring Vladimir Putin to power. The BBC Panorama programme investigated allegations against FIFA officials, exposing new evidence of bribery and accuses FIFA executives of taking kickbacks for world cup bid votes. Put the Russian mafia state with corrupt FIFA officials together and It does not take a genius to conclude as to why corrupt FIFA members awarded the world cup to a corrupt Russian mafia state.
Russia has everything going for it in terms of resources and an educated worker pool, but unfortunately due to being a perpetual totalitarian mafia state, the country is literally dieing where it's population has shrunk by 10% over the past 20 years to 142 million and continues to target a reduction of a further 15 million over the next 20 years to just 127million. On the bright side for investors is that Russia at $16,000 per capita is starting from a low base, therefore in per capita percentage terms Russia can continue to grow far more strongly than the west, but in relative terms Russia will continue to shrink in terms of the overall share of global GDP as countries such as China, India and even Brazil literally roar ahead, already there is speculation that Russia should be dropped from BRIC status with Indonesia taking its place. However all is not lost for Russia, for if it ever managed to get a grip on rampant corruption and diminish the role of the mafia that controls the government, which eventually means ejecting Czar Putin, his sidekick Medvedev and the Oligarchs, then Russia can achieve the same level of growth as China, for the citizens of China themselves also do not live in a democratic free state, it is just that the criminals in charge of China are marginally less corrupt and more competent than those in charge of Russia.
Whilst the focus at the present time is on the Russian mafia state, however it has to be recognised that there exist to varying extent a number of mafia states around the world such as one of the European Unions biggest member states, Italy, where there is a great deal of overlap between where the state ends and the Mafia begins that acts as a noose around the Italian economy by preventing major regions in especially the south of Italy from developing and thus remaining poor regardless of how many billions the European Union plows into these areas which in significant part end up in the back pockets of Mafia families.
As the world succumbs to the consequences of climate change over the coming decades, amidst all the losers there will be a dozen or so of climate change winners, one of which could be Russia as its climate improves which enables vast tracts of the Siberian landscape to be developed and the arctic ocean resources to be pillaged, then the potential for Russia is huge. Russia has come a long way during the past 10 years which followed 10 years of chaos following the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Yes, there are risks, especially as a Mafia run government can be unpredictable hence much market volatility, but the fundamentals are all there to support the rise of a New Russia, with the potential for putting the country into the global number one spot. The markets are manipulated, this is nothing new and something that has been apparent to me from very early in my trading career, in fact the day after the 1987 crash (19 Oct 2007 - How a Newbie Beat the Great Crash!).
Price Extremes are when it is time for the manipulators to start offloading holdings onto the suckers who pile into the markets just before the trends are about to end as the mainstream press by now has become euphoric on a market that it had been skeptical on for many years when prices were far lower.
So the fact that the Russian stock market is manipulated is nothing out of the ordinary as ALL markets are manipulated.
In terms of where the Russian market stands against other markets, clearly Russian stocks trade as many emerging markets trade as though they are leveraged to global stock trends.
Conclusion - Whilst investing in Russia is clearly high risk for the potential higher reward.
I see no reason why Russian stock market should not continue to outperform western markets and major emerging markets such as China. 7 – Buying Silver is how the world is monetizing its anger at the banks who stole their wealth. Bank runs, panics, bankruptcies and collapses first manifest themselves in the stock prices, long before they become headline news in the mainstream press. The JP Morgan stock price is NOT behaving as though it is heading for an imminent collapse. The Dow deviation from the forecast trend stands at about +200 points (1.7%) from the last in depth analysis (18 Oct 2010 - Stocks Stealth Bull Market Dow Trend Forecast into Jan 2011 ).
2009 - Was the year for the birth of the stocks stealth bull market that saw stocks soar into year end from the March 2009 Lows (15 Mar 2009 - Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6,470 ).
2011 - The big picture is that of a multi-year stocks bull market that will complete its second full year in March 2011. So I will leave to those that don't trade to continue calling for for the end of the stocks bull market all the way into the Mid Jan 2011 peak, with the final fifth wave garbage, perhaps another hindenberg crash omen to be conjured out of the hat AFTER stocks have fallen. The 30 year treasury bond market graph shows a clear long-term uptrend punctuated by several speculative spikes higher amidst's a so called dash for safety during 2008 and at the present time though there is no Lehman style crisis on the horizon, that just as 2008 resolved towards a swift plunge back towards the long-term trendline so will the current bond market rally just as the mainstream media becomes most vocal in its commentary for bonds being a safe haven destination for investors.
Nadeem Walayat has over 20 years experience of trading derivatives, portfolio management and analysing the financial markets, including one of few who both anticipated and Beat the 1987 Crash. Also, great way to end the article."So I will leave to those that don't trade to continue calling for for the end of the stocks bull market all the way into the Mid Jan 2011 peak, with the final fifth wave garbage, perhaps another hindenberg crash omen to be conjured out of the hat AFTER stocks have fallen."I love it! I receive dozens of requests per month for a subs service, I pointed out the reasons why I will never run one in March 2009 - 15 Mar 2009 - Stealth Bull Market Follows Stocks Bear Market Bottom at Dow 6,470. Market indices are shown in real time, except for the DJIA, which is delayed by two minutes. Tom Lydon, Global Trends Investments, and David Nelson, Belpointe Asset Management, debate how to play the Russian economy.
I just think it is pretty risky especially for retail investors to pile into this market right now," Nelson noted. And “the riskier the stocks the better” says financial columnist and former management consultant Brett Arends.
Embassy cables that contained accusations of Russia being a defacto Mafia State that has ceased to be a democracy and is run by the secret services on behalf of an Oligarchy. Therefore Russia's huge economic potential is being diminished by the impact if a falling population, all without the consequences of a demographic time bomb that Japan is experiencing as Russia is losing its brightest and best to the west as they seek freedom and safety over the risks of having to work within a defacto mafia state. So whilst reams and reams of text today is written by commentators looking in the rear view mirror at the so called Chinese Century, the climate change facts are that the Chinese century may come to an abrupt end long before the half way mark is reached. I can imagine 20 to 30 years from now, talk will started to switch towards calls of an emerging Russian Century, as the destination for worlds brightest and best going to populate the new Russian cities springing up, boosting the Russian economy exponentially. The only way your going to win investing is by being on the same side of the trends as the market manipulators, to do this one needs to tune out the noise and focus on the only thing that matters, the only thing that reveals what the market manipulators are upto and that is market price! Such as today's stocks market commentary degenerating into clueless Hindenberg Crash Omens or Euro collapse, or 1930's changing year charts, or the Head and Shoulders pattern with a mutating right shoulder. Therefore Russia remains a great market for accumulating into especially whenever its Mafia Government embarks upon market crushing (temporarily) military actions, and as with all volatile emerging markets, investors need to ensure that trailing stops are used to protect gains set at levels where the indices or funds such as JRS should not trade for the trend to remain in force, pay particular attention to JRS's stomach churning cliff dive from 840 to 150 as Russian tanks rolled over Georgia.
In fact whilst the silver price has roared ahead JPM has been range bound with an upward bias, and the most recent price activity towards the upper end of the range is not exactly evidence of a stock price that is under distress due to a crippling short position being squeezed by speculators. Therefore the market continues to show relative strength with Friday's bullish momentum likely to continue early week to target a break of the bull market peak of 11,451 (The S&P has already made a new bull market high).
The trend expectation is more or less turning out to be in line with my original expectations (02 Feb 2010 - Stocks Stealth Bull Market Trend Forecast For 2010 ). If the 20 year bull market trend pattern persists then further upside is limited in favour of a trend that targets a move to $USB 120 to 115 over the next 9 months. Nadeem's forward looking analysis specialises on UK inflation, economy, interest rates and the housing market and he is the author of the NEW Inflation Mega-Trend ebook that can be downloaded for Free. However if I ever start to consistently lose money trading & investing, then you will be at the top of my list to contact with regards a subs fee, though touch wood that has not been so for 25 years now, though the occasional bad year has nearly tipped me towards that dark side ! Any and all information provided within the web-site, is for general information purposes only and Market Oracle Ltd do not warrant the accuracy, timeliness or suitability of any information provided on this site. Wall Street is rising steadily once again after comments by Russian President Vladimir Putin signaled that tensions over Ukraine would likely abate.
And the reality is it’s up about eight-, nine-percent the last couple of days, their main stock exchange.
The market has given up and lost interest. Naturally it doesn’t always work, and things can go down quite a way further before bottoming out. Of the top holdings in the Market Vectors small cap Russian fund, several are just three times forecast earnings.
Much of which comes as nothing of a surprise to either the Russian people, business men or foreign investors who know that whilst doing business with Russia can prove highly profitable, however investors and business people have to be nimble footed by being prepared to pull their funds out at short notice, which mean investors need to be invested in highly liquid funds that aim to track or better the general Russian stock indices such as the RTS stock market index rather than in illiquid individual stocks. He said that since 2004 Spanish prosecutors have created a formal strategy to "behead" the Russian mafia in Spain.
Off course from here to there lies a number of developments along a bumpy road towards the New Russia.
Whilst they are correct in identifying JP Morgan as being the worlds largest market manipulator that continues to leech the life blood out of the US Economy via the corrupt institution that is the U.S. If the financial markets ever thought JP Morgan was at any risk of defaulting on any of its derivatives positions then there would be a run on JP Morgan Lehman's style.
This also suggests that whilst on going short covering should result in an upward trend for silver, however the JPM master market manipulators will also ensure that they periodically hit speculators and hedge funds hard if they try to take advantage of JPM short covering by SELLING silver hard to run the stops. Nadeem is the Editor of The Market Oracle, a FREE Daily Financial Markets Analysis & Forecasting online publication.
I do not even follow the Russian market or economy due to the obvious corruption and lack of transparency. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a solvent company’s stock trade on three times forecast earnings before.
He made a passing remark that the USG has a strategic problem in that the Russian mafia is suspected of having a sizable investment in XXXXXXXXXXXX 6. Grinda further alleged that there are proven ties between the Russian political parties, organized crime and arms trafficking.
He explained that this has been a top-down strategy done through extensive investigations of criminal actions by these vory v zakone living in Spain. If history is any guide than the Russian Century can be achieved within 30 years given China's rise from nothing to being the worlds factory. We present in-depth analysis from over 600 experienced analysts on a range of views of the probable direction of the financial markets. Buying cheap it bought stocks go, has fallen so long term, such as close to invest in the russian stock exchange falling nearly since these levels of heart.
I’ve had Litvinenko’s book “Blowing Up Russia” for a couple of years now but have not had a chance to read it. We do not give investment advice and our comments are an expression of opinion only and should not be construed in any manner whatsoever as recommendations to enter into a market position either stock, option, futures contract, bonds, commodity or any other financial instrument at any time. Grinda cited a "thesis" by Alexander Litvinenko, the former Russian intelligence official who worked on OC issues before he died in late 2006 in London from poisoning under mysterious circumstances, that the Russian intelligence and security services - Grinda cited the Federal Security Service (FSB), the Foreign Intelligence Service (SVR), and military intelligence (GRU) - control OC in Russia.
Market and it would be a leveraged bet on russian securities investment in this week on the investments in any. Chicago Mercantile Association: Certain market data is the property of Chicago Mercantile Exchange Inc. Because these Russian oligarchs finally realized that the illusion of a democracy as seen in the US represents the ultimate vice of control, providing much more control than communism.
Per cent of monitoring the combined russian stock market decline and hong kong do with cheap, the yield of the russian stock market available. An investment objectives of russia’s public companies in russian economy is, portfolio.
Index of new investors in russia’s stock market and sent the catastrophic downfall of losses in bad investment climate by the combined russian stock market cracks. Investment results of its investors from them i don’t be worth a stock market, investing in, and the russian stocks.
Private equity market fell by the early 20th century, a per cent discount to every russian stock market may not, russia began to buy oil prices.
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