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From Jordan Roy-Byrne: Gold’s recent strength versus foreign currencies is a signal that the precious metal will continue to gain steam as we progress through the second half of the year.
This Chart Shows Why Earnings May Have Finally Reached Their BottomGoldman Sachs projects EPS growth in the third quarter may be positive for the first time in nearly two years.
With the bulk of the earnings season now over, the second quarter of 2016 marks the seventh consecutive quarter of falling earnings — but investors are now turning their focus to the future. What’s more, the team of analysts projected that EPS growth in the third quarter may be positive for the first time in nearly two years. Noah Smith has acknowledged the failings of mainstream macroeconomics, but he says that none of the “outside ideas” offer a better replacement. Smith dismisses all outside approaches that do not produce quantitative forecasts, even though the best, newest, and high-powered quantitative macroeconomic models have failed recently. The quantitative approach, however, totally misses the nature of human action, the fundamental starting point for economics. Data for housing starts and industrial production are due out Tuesday, but even if both pointed toward recession, it’s doubtful they’ll have much impact on investors who have already shrugged off four straight quarters of falling corporate earnings.

Stocks were in wafting mode as the new week began, and although the E-Mini S&Ps stalled precisely at a rally target we’d been using since last week, it was a minor one that seemed unlikely to impede the inexorable flow of cash into stocks for long. For all the hand-wringing about the threat to liberty and constitutional government posed by the major party presidential candidates, there is little discussion of how this threat is due to the political class’s long history of supporting expanded presidential power. Since war is the health of the state, it is not surprising that presidential power expanded in tandem with the expansion of the warfare state.
The metals are trading below their recent highs while the miners continue to be on the cusp of their next leg higher. He failed to mention the Austrian school, but we can still show how the Austrian tradition parries his criticisms with ease. All economics boils down to individuals making choices, the outcome of which is dependent on individuals’ preferences. There is also little talk of how the imperial presidency is just as much a creation of Congress as it is of power-hungry presidents. Perhaps the best, and most terrifying, example of how “national security” has been used to justify giving the president dictatorial powers is the Defense Production Act.

NO MATERIAL HERE CONSTITUTES "INVESTMENT ADVICE" NOR IS IT A RECOMMENDATION TO BUY OR SELL ANY FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO STOCKS, COMMODITIES, OPTIONS, BONDS, OR FUTURES. One reason, among many is Gold remains strong against foreign currencies and that often is a leading indicator for the sector at large.
ACTIONS YOU UNDERTAKE AS A CONSEQUENCE OF ANY ANALYSIS, OPINION OR ADVERTISEMENT ON THIS SITE ARE YOUR SOLE RESPONSIBILITY. This is something we track often and we wanted to provide an update during the slowest period of the year.

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