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Oil and LNG are in many ways related, but their markets are separated by essential differences in how they're played — especially the curves thrown at traders, and whether buyers or sellers have the home-field pricing advantage. Oil is a global commodity trading rapidly, frequently and at enormous volumes on spot and futures exchanges among a vast array of producing, consuming, shipping and trading firms that have shaped the business since the first international oil deals more than 150 years ago. Oil is the established old-timer, while LNG is the youngster trying to make the big leagues. Prices are less transparent than those for oil, though buyers are pushing to change the benchmarks for calculating prices. The LNG trade is in its second decade of considerable growth, but still trades at a much smaller volume than oil. Average daily global oil production is almost 15 times that of LNG on an energy-equivalent basis.

Of the almost 200 countries in the world, fewer than 30 import LNG and just 20 export the fuel, whereas nearly every country trades in oil. OIL DOMINATES ENERGY TRADING A crowd of shouting traders flashing cryptic hand signals in the pit of the New York Mercantile Exchange is perhaps the scene most emblematic of the world oil trade. The NYMEX, the largest physical commodities exchange in the world, is where much of the buying and selling of oil futures (contracts for future deliveries) takes place. The 850,000 WTI futures and options contracts traded on an average day represent 850 million barrels, almost 10 times daily global oil consumption. Futures trading develops in the wake of vibrant markets in which prices are volatile and unpredictable. Source: BP Much of the international trade in crude oil occurs on international exchanges, with buyers and sellers, investors and speculators working at a frenzied pace. The huge number of crude oil buyers and sellers worldwide has enabled the creation of a transparent and liquid market.Not so for LNG, which inhabits a much smaller realm.

Oil pretty much has the transportation-fuel sector all to itself, while natural gas has to compete in the heating and electricity sectors with an array of energy sources including coal, nuclear, solar, wind, hydroelectricity, geothermal and even oil. Most of Asia does not have the option of pipeline gas imports, which is one reason its LNG contracts remain chiefly pegged to crude oil prices. Buyers and sellers generally negotiate a pricing mechanism in their contracts called an S-curve to protect both sides in times of high and low oil prices. The curve softens the effects of the oil-price linkage, helping buyers when oil prices are high and ensuring that sellers don't give up too much when prices are low. But reshaping LNG pricing and markets to more closely resemble the oil trade will be a long, slow process.

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Author: admin | 22.03.2014 | Category: Stock Traders

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