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Danske Bank have issued a foreign exchange rate forecast update which follows the broader market theme for a weakening euro and appreciating US dollar in 2014.
However, this is not the full story; analysts have warned that they are upping their near-term euro forecasts as they predict the European Central Bank (ECB) will not readily jump into a round of fresh easing. Economic data has lost some steam in the US recently, whereas eurozone data has surprised on the upside.
The eurozone current account surplus continues to rise, while the US is stuck with a deficit.
With the help of the team at Smart Currency we present you the definitive list of 2014 forecasts currently held on the pound euro exchange rate by the some of the world's leading finance houses. The list is made available by Smart Currency and is accurate as of the start of January 2014 and extends for the year ahead.
Please click here to enlarge the image to see the currency forecast table in greater detail, below are the views of Smart Currency regarding the forecasts for the pound euro exchange rate.

Other challenges faced by the Eurozone include its search for a central banking supervisor who will get on top of bad debts (the key reason for Japan’s two ‘lost’ decades) and the precarious position of Germany’s support for the Eurozone, given the recent re-election of Chancellor Merkel at the expense of a coalition with her main opponents.
Welcome to the page of currency pairs exchange rate history graph, Euro(EUR) To US Dollar(USD) Currency. Link to this page - if you would like to link to Euro(EUR) To US Dollar(USD) Currency Exchange History. Welcome to the page of currency pairs exchange rate history graph, British Pound Sterling(GBP) To Euro(EUR) Currency. Link to this page - if you would like to link to British Pound Sterling(GBP) To Euro(EUR) Currency Exchange History.
It is the divergence in central bank policy that will be key for currency movements in 2014 say Danske. We expect the US to grow decisively this year but see more potential for positive euro-zone surprises.

This should set the scene for a cyclical USD uptrend, as the Fed will be looking to hike rates way ahead of its eurozone counterpart. The combination of the ECB’s OMT programme and the eurozone escaping recession should help attract capital again and support the EUR, ceteris paribus. In the first half, we saw sterling continue in the same vein it had ended in 2012, rapidly losing ground against the euro and the US dollar. By viewing the currency pairs exchange rate history graph (different periods for selecting), you can get more previous performance about the two currencies. The ECB is keeping its options open and a deposit rate cut in response to lower-than-expected inflation is set to underline monetary-policy divergence.

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19.08.2014 | Author: admin

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